Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 17

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Barraza J. (Arg)


	Aldosivi		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.4
	2.05	3	3.6
	2.17	3.08	3.84
	2.1	3	3.5
	2.14	3.18	3.62
	2.11	3.1	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↓ (2.21)	3.09 ↓ (3.21)	3.57 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
44.1%

Draw
30%

Ferro Carril Oeste
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.3%

28.4%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

30.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	40%	30%

Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Ferro Carril will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bruera L. (G) 4. Iniguez E. 2. Callegari S. 6. Guanini M. 3. Escobar I. 8. Lucero R. 5. Indacoechea J. 10. Olivares J. 7. Riano C. 9. Cervera T. 11. Pereyra F.	1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Faggioli L. 6. Alvarado P. 3. Rodriguez M. 10. Campos M. 5. Machado W. 8. Erbes C. 7. Moreyra G. 9. Nunez W. 11. Palacio P.
Substitutes
14. Britez E. 18. Curuchet F. 16. Guerra Brian 12. Ingolotti L. (G) 13. Laquidain S. 15. Morello M. 19. Panaro M. 20. Torres E. 17. Vazquez J.	14. Arena N. 13. Boolsen P. 15. Di Lena F. 16. Galetto A. 17. Keko 12. Mino M. (G) 19. Olmedo L. 20. Retamar K. 18. Vazquez K. A.
Coaches
Quiroz F.	Cordon J. L.

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 3.

Recent matches Aldosivi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferro Carril is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aldosivi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.05.23	Deportivo Maipú - Aldosivi	3:2 ✺
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
13.05.23	Villa Dálmine - Aldosivi	0:1 ✺
06.05.23	Aldosivi - Racing de Córdoba	3:1 ✺
29.04.23	Deportivo Madryn - Aldosivi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LTWWL
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
29.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra	2:2 ✺
22.05.23	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Tristán Suárez - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:4 ✺
30.04.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
01.12.17	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:2
11.11.14	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:1
13.09.14	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:1
15.02.14	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	2:1
13.08.13	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1
20.04.13	Ferro Carril Oeste - Aldosivi	0:1
21.10.12	Aldosivi - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:4

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