Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA NACIONAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 May 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gimenez P. (Arg)


	Ferro Carril Oeste		Deportivo Riestra

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.5	Watch
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.4
	2.37	2.85	3.68
	2.2	3	3.2
	2.29	3.16	3.28	Watch
	2.24	3.05	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.21)	3.04 ↓ (3.25)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferro Carril Oeste
41.4%

Draw
30.7%

Deportivo Riestra
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

28.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

26.7%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Deportivo Riestra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Riestra than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	62.5%	0%

Ferro Carril Oeste - Deportivo Riestra Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Ferro Carril will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jachfe L. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Arena N. 6. Alvarado P. 3. Rodriguez M. 10. Campos M. 5. Machado W. 8. Erbes C. 7. Moreyra G. 11. Palacio P. 9. Diaz A.	1. Morel C. (G) 2. Ramirez P. 3. Benitez J. 4. Murillo Yaison 5. Dematei N. 6. Landriel L. 7. Antonini F. 9. Goitia J. 10. Romero L. 8. Celiz M. 11. Fernandez G.
Substitutes
13. Boolsen P. 14. Faggioli L. 15. Galetto A. 17. Keko 12. Mino M. (G) 18. Nunez W. 19. Olmedo L. 20. Retamar K. 16. Vazquez K. A.	12. Aguero F. (G) 17. Alarcon G. 20. Batallini M. 14. Benitez G. 18. Bravo G. 16. Goya J. 19. Portillo S. 13. Tovo E. 15. Villoldo T.
Coaches
Cordon J. L.	Marchesi W.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 12 and 14).

Ferro Carril is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Deportivo Riestra is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Ferro Carril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferro Carril will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferro Carril won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
22.05.23	Racing de Córdoba - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:1 ✺
14.05.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Atlanta Buenos Aires	2:0 ✺
06.05.23	Tristán Suárez - Ferro Carril Oeste	2:4 ✺
30.04.23	Ferro Carril Oeste - Chacarita Juniors	0:0 ✺
23.04.23	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWTW
- Deportivo Riestra
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.05.23	Aldosivi - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
15.05.23	Deportivo Riestra - Racing de Córdoba	2:2 ✺
08.05.23	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Deportivo Riestra	1:1 ✺
30.04.23	Deportivo Riestra - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
22.04.23	Chacarita Juniors - Deportivo Riestra	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.08.22	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0
06.04.18	Deportivo Riestra - Ferro Carril Oeste	1:0

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