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Current Win Probability
Tristán Suárez 42.5%
Draw 33%
Ferro Carril Oeste 24.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
26.9%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
26%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tristán Suárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tristán Suárez's form might have worsened.
Ferro Carril Oeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tristán Suárez, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
62.5%
37.5%
0%
Tristán Suárez - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Tristán Suárez will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Tristán Suárez: 29% – 96%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sumavil N. (G) 4. Steimbach A. 2. Guzman M. 6. Taron M. 3. Fernandez N. 10. Del Priore N. 5. Perez T. 8. Villegas L. 11. Moreyra G. 7. Almada A. 9. Almiron E.
1. Monetti F. (G) 4. Nazareno K. 2. Boolsen P. 6. Lorenzo A. 3. Monserrat M. 8. Ramirez G. 5. Fernandez Pinto J. 11. Tomasetti G. 10. Campos M. 7. Parisi L. 9. Diellos D.
Substitutes
12. Aquino S. 16. Berges F. 20. Dominguez A. 13. Felissia L. 15. Gorosito I. 14. Pantaleone N. 17. Ruiz P. 19. Sosa A. 18. Veliez A.
18. Alonso A. 19. Benegas M. 12. Ferrario R. (G) 15. Flores S. 13. Meritello F. 17. Palacio P. 16. Quiroga S. 20. Romero L. 14. Vallejos M.
Coaches
Martinez J.
Alcoba S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Almiron E. ⚽,
30', Fernandez Pinto J. 🟨,
31', Ramirez G. ↓, Palacio P. ↑,
38', Tomasetti G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Steimbach A. 🟨,
58', Moreyra G. ↓, Felissia L. ↑,
59', Almada A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
63', Parisi L. ↓, Meritello F. ↑,
63', Nazareno K. ↓, Benegas M. ↑,
63', Monserrat M. ↓, Quiroga S. ↑,
68', Almiron E. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
69', Villegas L. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
75', Tomasetti G. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
76', Diellos D. 🟨,
81', Del Priore N. 🟨,
81', 1 - 1, Benegas M. ⚽,
89', Fernandez N. ↓, Pantaleone N. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 0.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Tristán Suárez could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 0.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Tristán Suárez won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).