Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera Nacional - Round 38

Date: 26 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)

Referee: Merlos A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports, TyC Sports Play
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Aldosivi		San Telmo

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.2	3.8	Watch
	2	3.1	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.75	Watch
	2.09	3	4.29
	2.06	2.93	4.2	Watch
	2	3	3.9
	1.97	3.08	3.99
	2.05	3.1	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.97)	3.06 ↓ (3.11)	3.91 ↓ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aldosivi
45.8%

Draw
30.4%

San Telmo
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

30%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

29.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

San Telmo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Aldosivi - San Telmo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carranza J. (G) 4. Gonzalez R. 2. Soto G. 6. Sills J. 3. Guerrico I. 5. Esponda M. 8. Pineiro G. 7. Sosa A. 11. Lamendola N. 10. Guzman N. 9. Torres E.	1. Bustos B. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Gonzalez H. 6. Lillo G. 3. Ayala R. 8. Franco E. 5. Ramirez G. 10. Gonzalez R. 11. Cosi J. 7. Larthirigoyen I. 9. Diellos D.
Coaches
Yllana A.	Grelak A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Torres E. ⚽,
45', Bustos B. 🟨,
45+1', Torres E. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Franco E. ↓, Barreto J. ↑,
52', Sosa A. 🟨,
63', Larthirigoyen I. ↓, Mayenfisch G. ↑,
66', Sosa A. ↓, Larralde V. ↑,
67', Lamendola N. ↓, Colazo A. ↑,
70', Cosi J. ↓, Medina C. ↑,
73', Guzman N. ↓, Alonso A. ↑,
76', Ramirez G. ↓, Yangali J. ↑,
76', Gonzalez R. ↓, Tisera F. ↑,
83', Lillo G. 🟨,
84', Torres E. ↓, Mottes G. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Colazo A. ⚽,

Preview

Aldosivi is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

San Telmo is Qualified for Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs )

Two teams are playing changeable.

Aldosivi will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Aldosivi
Argentinian Primera Nacional
19.10.24	Chaco For Ever - Aldosivi	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	Aldosivi - Defensores de Belgrano	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	Club Almagro - Aldosivi	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Aldosivi - Brown de Adrogué	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	Temperley - Aldosivi	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TLWWT
- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
20.10.24	San Telmo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Colón - San Telmo	0:1 ✺
05.10.24	San Telmo - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
30.09.24	Atlanta Buenos Aires - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
23.09.24	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
31.07.24	San Telmo - Aldosivi	1:2

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