Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 25

Date: 3 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Osvaldo Baletto (Dock Sud)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	San Telmo		Defensores Unidos

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.3	5.25	Watch
	1.7	3.2	5.25
	1.8	3.1	4.75	Watch
	1.8	3.27	5.19
	3.32	3.22	2.18	Watch
	1.65	3.2	5.8
	1.74	3.29	5.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.75)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	4.81 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Telmo
49.5%

Draw
30.2%

Defensores Unidos
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.6%

26.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

25.7%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Telmo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Defensores Unidos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Telmo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	60%	0%

San Telmo - Defensores Unidos Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Telmo will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Defensores Unidos (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Defensores Unidos (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Defensores Unidos (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Formichelli S. 2. Pollacchi L. 6. Morro N. 3. Sosa R. 8. Uriburu R. 5. Britez E. 10. Astina M. 7. Porto J. 9. Zurbriggen J. 11. Larthirigoyen I.	1. Aquino M. (G) 4. Arguello J. 2. Marchesini F. 6. Rassol F. 3. Olivera L. 7. Rocca J. 8. Ortiz B. 5. Sanchez S. 11. Patroni S. 10. Gimenez M. 9. Toledo A.
Substitutes
20. Compagnucci M. 16. Curcio N. 12. Enrico J. C. (G) 17. Iritier J. 18. Maidana A. 14. Ojeda L. 15. Pardo I. 13. Pusula G. 19. Salerno M.	19. Aguirre D. E. 14. Basualdo N. 15. Caballo M. 18. Ceratto L. 13. Ferreyra T. 12. Gonzalez E. (G) 20. Sanchez C. 16. Tello J. 17. Trinidad E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Marchesini F. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Zurbriggen J. ↓, Iritier J. ↑,
46', Uriburu R. ↓, Curcio N. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Larthirigoyen I. ⚽,
56', Arguello J. 🟨,
58', 1 - 2, Toledo A. ⚽,
63', Gimenez M. ↓, Ceratto L. ↑,
63', Rocca J. ↓, Trinidad E. ↑,
67', Astina M. ↓, Compagnucci M. ↑,
68', Patroni S. ↓, Ferreyra T. ↑,
72', Sanchez S. ↓, Aguirre D. E. ↑,
72', Toledo A. ↓, Caballo M. ↑,
80', Sosa R. ↓, Ojeda L. ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Rassol F. (Own goal),
85', Britez E. 🟨,
86', Porto J. ↓, Pardo I. ↑,
88', Rassol F. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 1.

San Telmo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Defensores Unidos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, San Telmo is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Telmo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, San Telmo won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA San Telmo
Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.07.25	Defensores de Belgrano - San Telmo	1:2 ✺
26.07.25	Estudiantes de Caseros - San Telmo	2:0 ✺
19.07.25	San Telmo - Deportivo Morón	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Talleres de Remedios de Escalada - San Telmo	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	San Telmo - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLLTL
- Defensores Unidos
Argentinian Primera Nacional
27.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Agropecuario Argentino	3:2 ✺
20.07.25	Gimnasia Jujuy - Defensores Unidos	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Defensores Unidos - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza	0:1 ✺
06.07.25	Central Norte - Defensores Unidos	3:0 ✺
28.06.25	Defensores Unidos - Almirante Brown	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
30.03.25	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2
23.09.24	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	2:0
04.05.24	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	2:2
26.08.23	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:1
16.04.23	Defensores Unidos - San Telmo	3:2
Argentinian Primera B
29.12.20	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	4:1
02.02.20	San Telmo - Defensores Unidos	1:2

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