Match Info
Date: 18 August 2022, ThursdayLocation: Estadio José María Minella (Mar del Plata)Referee: Arasa N. (Arg)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Argentina | TV Publica |
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Aldosivi |
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Vélez Sársfield |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.2 |
3.4 |
1.95 |
 Watch |
 |
4 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
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 |
4.35 |
3.4 |
1.81 |
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 |
3.9 |
3.3 |
1.92 |
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 |
4.51 |
3.4 |
1.93 |
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 |
4.05 |
3.42 |
1.92 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.17 ↑
(3.93) |
3.37
(3.37) |
1.91 ↓
(1.95) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aldosivi
22.6% | Draw
28% | Vélez Sársfield
49.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aldosivi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aldosivi than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-0.3%)Aldosivi - Vélez Sársfield Predictions
Users Predictions:
44 users predict this event. Aldosivi will win (votes: 6 - 13.6%). Vélez will win (votes: 27 - 61.4%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vélez: 47% – 75.8%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 27 and 26).Aldosivi has the most likely position - 28 (47.49%), has project points - 22, has currently - 8, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).Vélez has the most likely position - 25 (6.32%), has project points - 32, has currently - 10, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).This event has quality 33, very small importance 0, small match rating 17. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)Last 5 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 0. Aldosivi is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1). Recent matches Vélez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). Vélez could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents. In this match Vélez is a favorite.There will not play in Aldosivi: Escobar I.
(Injury)
Iniguez E.
(Injury)
Meli M.
(Injury)There will not play in Vélez: Bou W.
(Injury)
Giannetti L.
(Injury)
Godin D.
(Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-11. Including matches at home between the teams Aldosivi won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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