Match Info

Liga Profesional - Apertura - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio José Amalfitani (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Gariano A. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports App, Foxsports.com
Venezuela	Inter
World	TyC Sports Internacional


	Vélez Sársfield		Gimnasia La Plata

	1	X	2
	2.05	3	4.2	Watch
	1.82	3.4	4.4
	2.1	3	3.9	Watch
	2.13	3.11	4.26
	2.1	2.97	4.15
	2.05	2.9	3.9
	2.05	3.04	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.83)	3.06 ↓ (3.31)	4.11 ↓ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Vélez Sársfield
46.2%

Draw
30.8%

Gimnasia La Plata
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

32.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vélez Sársfield has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vélez Sársfield's form might have worsened.

Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (+11.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Montero A. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 16. Magallan L. 3. Gomez E. 5. Baeza C. 8. Robertone L. 50. Andrada T. 29. Aliendro R. 22. Lanzini M. 23. Monzon F.	23. Insfran N. (G) 25. Steimbach A. 13. German Conti 21. Martinez E. 24. Silva Torrejon P. 5. Miramon I. 16. Max A. 18. Seoane M. 8. Fernandez N. 32. Torres M. 29. Auzmendi A.
Substitutes
39. Aguirre T. 35. Arias M. 18. Escobar S. 48. Feler L. 15. Godoy D. 1. Marchiori T. (G) 11. Pellegrini M. 47. Pereyra A. 6. Quiros A. 32. Silvero T. 10. Valdes D. 17. Veron A.	33. Aguiar P. 31. Barros Schelotto B. 28. Bolzan C. 19. Castro L. 14. Errecalde G. 4. Giampaoli R. 27. Kadijevic J. (G) 22. Melluso M. 7. Panaro M. 20. Perez J. 26. Torres F. 43. Zalazar M.
Coaches
Barros Schelotto G.	Pereyra A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Garcia J. 🟨,
13', 0 - 1, Torres M. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Lanzini M. 🟨,
21', German Conti 🟨,
25', Torres M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aliendro R. ↓, Pellegrini M. ↑,
55', Martinez E. 🟥,
57', Max A. ↓, Melluso M. ↑,
57', Silva Torrejon P. ↓, Giampaoli R. ↑,
67', Auzmendi A. 🟨,
71', Robertone L. ↓, Valdes D. ↑,
76', Torres M. ↓, Panaro M. ↑,
76', Seoane M. ↓, Barros Schelotto B. ↑,
80', Fernandez N. 🟨,
81', Garcia J. ↓, Godoy D. ↑,
88', Auzmendi A. ↓, Errecalde G. ↑,
90+1', Insfran N. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 2.

Vélez is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Gimnasia La Plata is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vélez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vélez has had a series of home games.

In this match, Vélez is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Vélez: Gordon J. (Knee Injury) Machuca I. (Suspended) Magallan L. (Inactive)

There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) Errecalde G. (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Vélez won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:24. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Vélez won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Vélez Sársfield - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.25%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Gimnasia La Plata - the odds 4.61 are the expected chance of winning is 20.37%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.05.26	Vélez Sársfield - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	2:2 ✺
20.04.26	San Lorenzo - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
13.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Central Córdoba	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWTTW
- Gimnasia La Plata
Argentinian Liga Profesional
03.05.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Argentinos Juniors	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Belgrano - Gimnasia La Plata	0:1 ✺
Copa Argentina
22.04.26	Acassuso - Gimnasia La Plata	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
18.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes de Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
13.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín - Gimnasia La Plata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
10.11.25	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:0
28.04.25	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:0
13.05.24	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	3:1
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
09.02.24	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
13.09.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.01.23	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	3:1
14.08.22	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia La Plata	1:1

Upcoming Matches