Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Betano - Round 26

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio 15 de Abril (Santa Fe)

Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Portugal	Sport TV7
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	TNT Sports
World	Disney+, Fanatiz, TyC Sports Internacional


	Unión Santa Fe		Vélez Sársfield

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	2.2	Watch
	3.6	2.9	2.2
	3.65	2.92	2.25	Watch
	3.82	3	2.27
	3.76	3.01	2.21
	3.25	3.1	2.25
	3.68	3.04	2.21	Watch
	3.65	2.92	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (2.94)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

Watch this match and Argentinian Liga Profesional with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Unión Santa Fe
25.9%

Draw
31.7%

Vélez Sársfield
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30.4%

37.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

31.6%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unión Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Unión Santa Fe's form might have worsened.

Vélez Sársfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Unión Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Unión Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vélez Sársfield than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vélez Sársfield, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	14.3%	85.7%

Unión Santa Fe - Vélez Sársfield Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Vélez will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Cardozo T. (G) 22. Gerometta F. 32. Paz N. 34. Pardo F. 3. Corvalan C. (C) 11. Del Blanco M. 28. Pitton M. 5. Mosqueira J. 31. Verde L. 33. Orsini N. 77. Balboa A.	1. Marchiori T. (G) 4. Garcia J. 2. Mammana E. 31. Gomez V. (C) 3. Gomez E. 5. Elias J. 32. Ordonez C. 20. Pizzini F. 22. Aquino C. 11. Pellegrini M. 9. Braian Romero
Substitutes
19. Banega T. 1. Campisi N. (G) 30. Domina J. 13. Fascendini V. 18. Gamba L. 26. Luduena J. 9. Morales G. 10. Roldan E. 15. Tanda P. 2. Torren M. 35. Vargas L.	28. Carrizo M. 35. Caseres S. 34. Fernandez D. 24. Guidara T. 14. Lagos A. 36. Montoro A. 23. Pernicone P. 17. Pineiro R. 6. Quiros A. 12. Rodriguez R. (G) 19. Roldan L. 7. Santos M.
Coaches
Gonzalez K.	Quinteros G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Quinteros G. 🟨,
26', Mammana E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Gomez E. (Own goal),
64', Pellegrini M. ↓, Santos M. ↑,
72', Verde L. 🟨,
77', Balboa A. ↓, Domina J. ↑,
77', Del Blanco M. ↓, Fascendini V. ↑,
77', Verde L. ↓, Roldan E. ↑,
78', Ordonez C. ↓, Carrizo M. ↑,
85', Orsini N. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
86', Fascendini V. 🟨,
86', Garcia J. ↓, Lagos A. ↑,
86', Gomez V. ↓, Quiros A. ↑,
90', Gerometta F. ↓, Luduena J. ↑,
90+6', Pitton M. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Unión won 1.

Unión is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Vélez is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Unión could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Vélez will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Unión: Pitton B. (Broken jawbone)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Unión won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11:22 (average 0.8:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Unión won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unión Santa Fe
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.12.24	Platense - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
26.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Talleres de Córdoba	2:3 ✺
20.11.24	Boca Juniors - Unión Santa Fe	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Unión Santa Fe - Atlético Tucumán	1:0 ✺
05.11.24	Independiente - Unión Santa Fe	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLWL
- Vélez Sársfield
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.12.24	Vélez Sársfield - Sarmiento de Junín	1:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
27.11.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	3:4 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.11.24	Godoy Cruz - Vélez Sársfield	0:0 ✺
20.11.24	Vélez Sársfield - Lanús	0:0 ✺
11.11.24	Deportivo Riestra - Vélez Sársfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
24.07.23	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	0:0
06.08.22	Unión Santa Fe - Vélez Sársfield	2:1
06.09.21	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	4:0
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
04.04.21	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	4:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
09.03.20	Unión Santa Fe - Vélez Sársfield	0:3
25.11.18	Unión Santa Fe - Vélez Sársfield	0:2
06.11.17	Vélez Sársfield - Unión Santa Fe	0:2

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