Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 23 October 2024, Wednesday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Germany	Magenta Sport
World	Onefootball app


	Alemannia Aachen		Unterhaching

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	3.9
	1.8	3.7	4
	1.8	3.75	4
	1.81	3.95	4.34
	1.78	3.83	4.15	Watch
	1.73	3.6	3.9
	1.76	3.7	4.11	Watch
	1.8	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.68)	3.75 ↓ (3.82)	4.05 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
52.3%

Draw
24.8%

Unterhaching
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

24.2%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

24.1%

20.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Unterhaching has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unterhaching than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Alemannia Aachen - Unterhaching Predictions

Users Predictions: Alemannia Aachen will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Bordner E. (G) 15. Hanraths M. (C) 13. Rumpf J. 25. Yarbrough L. 30. Winter N. 8. Scepanik L. 46. Gaudino G. 5. Strujic S. 21. Heinz A. 18. El-Faouzi S. 35. Benschop C.	1. Heide K. (G) 23. Schwabl M. (C) 8. Stiefler M. 4. Schlicke B. 3. Lamby M. 10. Maier S. 5. Geis J. 39. Waidner D. 30. Skarlatidis S. 9. Kugel J. 25. Jastremski L.
Substitutes
47. Aourir A. 16. Bapoh U. 6. Baum F. 11. Goden K. 19. Heister F. 1. Johnen M. (G) 4. Meyer F. 34. Nkoa P. 24. Topken T.	42. Adu G. 26. Breuer A. 24. Eisele K. (G) 33. Hennig M. 27. Hoops T. 49. Ortel N. 31. Schmid F. 2. Zentrich V.
Coaches
Backhaus H.	Unterberger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Jastremski L. ⚽,
29', 1 - 1, Benschop C. ⚽, Winter N. (A),
33', Rumpf J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
55', Schwabl M. 🟨,
61', Scepanik L. ↓, Bapoh U. ↑,
67', Benschop C. ↓, Topken T. ↑,
67', Geis J. ↓, Zentrich V. ↑,
67', Schwabl M. ↓, Ortel N. ↑,
71', 2 - 1, Strujic S. ⚽, Rumpf J. (A),
77', Heinz A. ↓, Goden K. ↑,
77', Gaudino G. ↓, Nkoa P. ↑,
78', El-Faouzi S. 🟨,
80', Winter N. 🟨,
81', Schlicke B. ↓, Adu G. ↑,
84', 3 - 1, Topken T. ⚽,
88', Kugel J. ↓, Schmid F. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Aachen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Unterhaching is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aachen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aachen is a favorite.

There will not play in Aachen: Bakhat A. (Injury) Goden K. (Injury)

There will not play in Unterhaching: Ihorst L. (Injury) Littig R. (Injury) Obermeier T. (Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Aachen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Aachen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
German 3 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Hansa Rostock - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
05.10.24	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Dynamo Dresden - Alemannia Aachen	0:0 ✺
25.09.24	Alemannia Aachen - Waldhof Mannheim	0:0 ✺
22.09.24	Borussia Dortmund II - Alemannia Aachen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WTTTL
- SpVgg Unterhaching
German 3 Bundesliga
20.10.24	Unterhaching - 1860 München	2:2 ✺
05.10.24	Verl - Unterhaching	2:0 ✺
27.09.24	Unterhaching - Sandhausen	0:0 ✺
24.09.24	Hansa Rostock - Unterhaching	4:1 ✺
20.09.24	Unterhaching - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
02.03.13	Unterhaching - Alemannia Aachen	1:0
15.09.12	Alemannia Aachen - Unterhaching	1:3

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