Match Info

3. Liga - Round 11

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: New Tivoli (Aachen)

Referee: Fuchs N. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	SportKlub
Germany	BR Fernsehen, Magenta Sport, WDR Fernsehen
Slovenia	Sportklub
World	Onefootball


	Alemannia Aachen		Ingolstadt

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.75	Watch
	2.2	3.6	2.88
	2.31	3.75	2.95
	2.14	3.66	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↑ (2.12)	3.69 ↓ (3.75)	2.88 (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Alemannia Aachen
42.1%

Draw
25.4%

Ingolstadt
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

24.6%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

25.2%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alemannia Aachen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Ingolstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	29.4%	41.2%

Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Aachen will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Ingolstadt will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ingolstadt: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Ingolstadt (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Ingolstadt (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olschowsky J. (G) 33. Wegmann M. 37. da Silva Kiala J. 4. Meyer F. 29. Nadjombe P. 28. Wiebe D. 8. Bahn B. 5. Strujic S. (C) 27. Schroers M. 23. Gindorf L. 44. Castelle N. H.	25. Eisele K. (G) 20. Deichmann Y. 32. Lorenz S. 15. Scholz J. 19. Rosenlocher L. 14. Plath M. 22. Costly M. 8. Carlsen F. 17. Besuschkow M. 24. Christensen G. 11. Christensen F.
Substitutes
36. Ademi F. 14. Elekwa E. 19. Heister F. 22. Hendriks T. (G) 6. Lorch J. 11. Loune M. 20. Richter M. 9. Sulejmani V. 18. Wriedt K.	9. Borchers M. 4. Decker E. 34. Frode L. 10. Kaygin D. 47. Klein D. (G) 29. Kugel J. 23. Maljojoki J. 33. Sekulovic D. 7. Sturm Y.
Coaches
Muzzicato B.	Wittmann S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Plath M. 🟨,
20', Nadjombe P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Besuschkow M. 🟨,
56', Christensen F. ↓, Borchers M. ↑,
56', Christensen G. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
61', Nadjombe P. ↓, Heister F. ↑,
61', Castelle N. H. ↓, Elekwa E. ↑,
71', Besuschkow M. ↓, Kaygin D. ↑,
74', Schroers M. ↓, Sulejmani V. ↑,
81', Borchers M. 🟨,
83', Kaygin D. 🟨,
85', Carlsen F. ↓, Sekulovic D. ↑,
86', Wegmann M. 🟨,
90+1', 0 - 1, Kaygin D. ⚽, Sturm Y. (A),
90+4', Wiebe D. ↓, Loune M. ↑,
90+4', Strujic S. ↓, Wriedt K. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Ingolstadt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aachen won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Aachen won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alemannia Aachen
Club Friendly
09.10.25	Bochum - Alemannia Aachen	3:3 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Energie Cottbus - Alemannia Aachen	3:2 ✺
30.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Erzgebirge Aue	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Schweinfurt - Alemannia Aachen	1:5 ✺
20.09.25	Alemannia Aachen - Waldhof Mannheim	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TLLWW
- FC Ingolstadt 04
German 3 Bundesliga
04.10.25	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
01.10.25	Verl - Ingolstadt	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Duisburg - Ingolstadt	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Ingolstadt - Wehen Wiesbaden	0:0 ✺
17.09.25	TSV Havelse - Ingolstadt	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
11.03.25	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	0:3
05.10.24	Alemannia Aachen - Ingolstadt	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
08.04.12	Ingolstadt - Alemannia Aachen	3:3

Upcoming Matches