Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Alessandria		Grosseto

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.4
	1.95	3.1	3.6	Watch
	1.82	3.2	3.85
	1.97	2.95	3.7
	2.03	3.25	3.8
	2.05	3.1	3.7
	1.98	3.3	3.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	3.17 ↓ (3.36)	3.67 ↓ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
46.4%

Draw
28.7%

Grosseto
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

27.5%

22%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

18%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alessandria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Alessandria - Grosseto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Alessandria is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Grosseto is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grosseto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Alessandria will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group A
18.10.20	Giana Erminio - Alessandria	1:1 ✺
12.10.20	Alessandria - Novara	1:2 ✺
07.10.20	Lecco - Alessandria	2:1 ✺
04.10.20	Alessandria - Olbia	4:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
30.09.20	Nuova Cosenza - Alessandria	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 TLLWL
- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie C Group A
17.10.20	Grosseto - Pro Vercelli	1:2 ✺
11.10.20	Pergolettese - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
07.10.20	Lucchese - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
04.10.20	Grosseto - Renate	0:1 ✺
27.09.20	Piacenza - Grosseto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWLW

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