Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP B - ROUND 16

Date: 29 November 2022, Tuesday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)


	Alessandria		Olbia

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.4	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.45
	2.02	2.85	3.5
	2.02	2.89	3.8
	2	3	3.6
	1.96	3.24	3.64	Watch
	2.04	3.05	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↓ (2.21)	2.96 ↑ (2.86)	3.56 ↑ (3.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alessandria
44.4%

Draw
30.4%

Olbia
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

31.2%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

29.2%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alessandria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Olbia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alessandria than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olbia than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	33.3%	30.3%

Alessandria - Olbia Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Alessandria will win (votes: 12 - 36.4%). Olbia will win (votes: 10 - 30.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alessandria: 20% – 52.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 3.

Recent matches Alessandria is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Olbia is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alessandria could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alessandria will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alessandria won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 25-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Alessandria won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alessandria 1912
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Fiorenzuola - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	Alessandria - Siena	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Alessandria - Renate	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
13.11.22	Fermana - Alessandria	0:0 ✺
05.11.22	Lucchese - Alessandria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TLLTW
- US Olbia 1905
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.22	Olbia - Cesena	0:1 ✺
20.11.22	Carrarese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
13.11.22	Olbia - San Donato Tavarnelle	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Imolese - Olbia	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Lucchese - Olbia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
30.01.21	Olbia - Alessandria	1:2
04.10.20	Alessandria - Olbia	4:1
26.01.20	Alessandria - Olbia	3:3
15.09.19	Olbia - Alessandria	0:3
13.02.19	Alessandria - Olbia	0:0
17.10.18	Olbia - Alessandria	0:0
24.03.18	Olbia - Alessandria	1:3

Alessandria - Olbia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide