Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 31

Date: 26 April 2024, Friday


	Alesves		Cortes

	1	X	2
	6.75	3.9	1.41
	6.47	4.09	1.41
	6.47	4.09	1.42
	7.45	4.31	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.79 ↑ (6.34)	4.1 ↓ (4.41)	1.41 ↓ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alesves
13.4%

Draw
22.2%

Cortes
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.6%

21%

64.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1%

20.2%

66.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alesves has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

The chances for Cortes have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alesves than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cortes than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Kessas A. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: )).

Alesves is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cortes is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Cortes have a series of home games.

In this match Cortes is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Alesves won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alesves
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
21.04.24	Cantolagua - Alesves	1:0 ✺
06.04.24	Lagunak - Alesves	2:0 ✺
28.03.24	Alesves - Ardoi	2:2 ✺
23.03.24	Txantrea - Alesves	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Alesves - Huarte	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLTLT
- CD Cortes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
20.04.24	Cortes - Avance Ezcabarte	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Cortes - Lerines	3:0 ✺
28.03.24	Cirbonero - Cortes	0:0 ✺
23.03.24	Cortes - Peña Sport	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Cortes - Cantolagua	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
16.12.23	Cortes - Alesves	0:0
18.03.23	Cortes - Alesves	1:1
06.10.18	Cortes - Alesves	5:0

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