Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Náxara		Sestao

	1	X	2
	3.75	3	1.95
	4.48	3.09	1.91
	4.15	3.23	1.86	Watch
	4	2.88	1.91
	3.95	3.47	1.96
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.07 ↓ (4.29)	3.13 ↑ (3.03)	1.92 ↑ (1.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náxara
22.6%

Draw
29.4%

Sestao
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.5%

30.4%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

30.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náxara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náxara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Náxara - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Maiso A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 1, Garcia J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 6).

Náxara is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Sestao has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Náxara may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sestao is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Náxara won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Including home match between the teams, Náxara won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Naxara	4	0	1	3	1:8	-7	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náxara CD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
15.03.26	Náxara - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Ejea - Náxara	1:1 ✺
28.02.26	Náxara - Basconia	3:0 ✺
22.02.26	Zaragoza B - Náxara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLTWW
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
22.03.26	Sestao - Mutilvera	4:0 ✺
14.03.26	Ebro - Sestao	1:1 ✺
07.03.26	Eibar B - Sestao	2:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sestao - Alavés B	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gernika - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.09.25	Sestao - Náxara	0:0
03.04.22	Sestao - Náxara	2:0
14.11.21	Náxara - Sestao	2:1

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