Match Info

ENGLAND: National League North - Round 5

Date: 26 August 2024, Monday


	Needham Market		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.6	3.5	1.95
	3.83	3.42	1.97
	3.82	3.52	1.93
	3.6	3.6	1.83
	3.73	3.52	1.9
	3.6	3.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.54)	3.49 ↓ (3.5)	1.92 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Needham Market
25.3%

Draw
26.5%

Alfreton Town
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.7%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

24.7%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Needham Market has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Needham Market than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Needham Market - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', 0 - 1, Abbey J. ⚽,
63', 0 - 2, Abbey J. ⚽,

Preview

Needham is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alfreton is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alfreton will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Needham Market
English National League North
24.08.24	Radcliffe - Needham Market	1:1 ✺
20.08.24	Needham Market - Scunthorpe United	0:1 ✺
17.08.24	Needham Market - Southport	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Curzon Ashton - Needham Market	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.07.24	Needham Market - Brightlingsea Regent	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TLLLW
- Alfreton Town
English National League North
24.08.24	Alfreton Town - Chester	2:2 ✺
20.08.24	Leamington - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
17.08.24	Alfreton Town - King`s Lynn Town	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Southport - Alfreton Town	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.07.24	Alfreton Town - Mansfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TTWLT

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