Match Info
National League North - Round 13Date: 21 October 2025, TuesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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Alfreton Town |
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Chester |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.25 |
3.25 |
2.05 |
|
 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.59 |
3.23 |
2.1 |
|
 |
3.23 |
3.37 |
2.13 |
 Watch |
 |
3.29 |
3.32 |
2.11 |
|
 |
2.9 |
3.14 |
2.33 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.24 ↑
(3.23) |
3.27 ↓
(3.37) |
2.14 ↑
(2.13) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alfreton Town
28.5% | Draw
28.3% | Chester
43.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Chester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chester than the current prediction. (+1.2%)Alfreton Town - Chester Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45', 0 - 1, Peers T. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 0 - 2, Peers T. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1.Alfreton has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).Chester is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).Alfreton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Chester has had a series of home games. Chester will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 2 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Alfreton won 0 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:9. (average 1:1.1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English National League North | | | 18.01.25 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 2:0 | | 24.08.24 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 2:2 | | 01.04.24 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 0:2 | | 21.11.23 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 1:1 | | 31.01.23 | Chester - Alfreton Town | 1:1 | | 06.08.22 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 2:2 | | 30.04.22 | Alfreton Town - Chester | 0:0 |
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✺ - difficult match;
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