Match Info

National League North - Round 5

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday


	Alfreton Town		Marine

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.3
	2.8	3.1	2.25
	2.98	2.98	2.38
	3.01	3.44	2.25
	3.16	3.08	2.31	Watch
	3	3	2.4
	2.89	3.14	2.4
	2.02	3.15	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2)	3.12 ↓ (3.25)	2.49 ↓ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
32.8%

Draw
29.8%

Marine
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

28.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

28.5%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alfreton Town's form might have worsened.

Marine has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marine's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marine than the current prediction. (-11.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marine, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Alfreton Town - Marine Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Marine will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Marine (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Alfreton (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Alfreton (votes: 1 - 20%). Marine (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Hunt M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 2 - 0, Anson A. ⚽,

Preview

Alfreton is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Marine is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).

Including home match between the teams, Alfreton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Alfreton Town - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.73%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English National League North
23.08.25	Macclesfield Town - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
19.08.25	Alfreton Town - South Shields	0:2 ✺
16.08.25	Alfreton Town - Darlington	0:3 ✺
09.08.25	Bedford Town - Alfreton Town	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.07.25	Alfreton Town - Chesterfield	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TLLTT
- Marine FC
English National League North
23.08.25	Marine - Bedford Town	2:1 ✺
19.08.25	Merthyr Town - Marine	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Marine - Buxton	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	South Shields - Marine	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
02.08.25	Marine - Prescot Cables	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
29.03.25	Marine - Alfreton Town	0:0
10.12.24	Alfreton Town - Marine	1:0

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