The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Algar 11.6%
Draw 21.3%
Lorca Deportiva 67.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.6%
21%
64.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14.2%
20.4%
66.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Algar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Lorca Deportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algar than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).
Algar is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Lorca Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match Lorca Deportiva is indisputable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Algar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Algar won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.