Match Info

FIFA Arab Cup - Round 3

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Khalifa International Stadium (Al Rayyan)

Where to Watch on TV:


Algeria	TV2, TV4, TV6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Canada	beIN Connect
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Iraq	Al Rabiaa Sport
Kuwait	Shasha
Qatar	Shoof
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Algeria		Iraq

	1	X	2
	1.92	2.88	4.15
	2	3	5.01
	1.84	3.26	4.69	Watch
	1.95	2.9	4
	1.91	3.18	4.25	Watch
	1.86	2.9	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.73)	3.02 ↓ (3.17)	4.48 ↓ (4.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Algeria
48.5%

Draw
30.7%

Iraq
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

28.7%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

27.2%

17.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Algeria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Iraq has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeria than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeria, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iraq than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Algeria - Iraq Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chaal F. (G) CR Belouizdad 20. Atal Y. Al-Sadd 19. Abada A. ASO Chlef 4. Tougai M. Esperance Tunis 2. Baouche H. Constantine 6. Lekhal V. Al Qadisiya 8. Draoui Z. USM Alger 11. Brahimi Y. (C) Al-Gharafa 10. Benzia Y. Al Fayha 7. Boulbina A. Al-Duhail 18. Berkane R. Al Wakra	1. Talib F. (G) Al Talaba 4. Natiq S. (C) Duhok 2. Jabbar M. Al Zawraa 6. Younis M. Al Shorta 23. Maknzi A. Al-Karma 8. Attwan A. Zakho 19. Nabeel K. Al Zawraa 14. Jasim S. Al-Karma 7. Al Saedi H. Al Shorta 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah 13. Muhsin A. Brage
Substitutes
5. Bedrane A. Damac 22. Benchaa R. Kabylie 14. Bendebka S. Al Fateh 17. Guitane R. Estoril 23. Hadid M. (G) Kabylie 12. Halaimia M. MC Alger 3. Khacef N. CR Belouizdad 15. Mrezigue H. Dynamo Makhachkala 9. Ounas A. Al Sailiya 21. Sayoud A. Al Hazem Rass 13. Slimani I. CFR Cluj 16. Yesli Y. (G) HFX Wanderers	11. Abdulkareem H. Al Zawraa 22. Basil A. (G) Al Shorta 5. Hashem A. Al Zawraa 12. Hassan J. (G) Al Zawraa 18. Hussein A. Al-Karma 20. Ismaeel Z. Al Talaba 17. Jasim A. Al Najma 9. Jawad M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 16. Karim S. Zakho 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta
Coaches
Petkovic V.	Arnold G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', Al Saedi H. 🟥,
32', Meme ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Tougai M. ⚽, Berkane R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Attwan A. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
46', Jabbar M. ↓, Hashem A. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Natiq S. (Own goal),
52', Jasim S. ↓, Abdulkareem H. ↑,
57', Berkane R. ↓, Slimani I. ↑,
57', Brahimi Y. ↓, Ounas A. ↑,
58', Atal Y. ↓, Halaimia M. ↑,
68', Lekhal V. ↓, Mrezigue H. ↑,
76', Boulbina A. ↓, Guitane R. ↑,
78', Muhsin A. ↓, Jawad M. ↑,
90+3', Ounas A. 🟨,

Preview

Iraq is Qualified for FIFA Arab Cup (Play Offs )

Algeria has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Iraq is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Algeria is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Algeria will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Algeria
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	Bahrain - Algeria	1:5 ✺
03.12.25	Algeria - Sudan	0:0 ✺
Friendly
18.11.25	Saudi Arabia - Algeria	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Algeria - Zimbabwe	3:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
14.10.25	Algeria - Uganda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WTWWW
- Iraq
FIFA Arab Cup
06.12.25	Sudan - Iraq	0:2 ✺
03.12.25	Iraq - Bahrain	2:1 ✺
FIFA World Cup
18.11.25	Iraq - United Arab Emirates	2:1 ✺
13.11.25	United Arab Emirates - Iraq	1:1 ✺
14.10.25	Saudi Arabia - Iraq	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWTT

Algeria - Iraq: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide