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Current Win Probability
Sudan 27.5%
Draw 30.6%
Iraq 41.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
19.7%
25%
55.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19%
24.1%
57.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sudan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sudan's performance.
Iraq has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Iraq might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sudan than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sudan that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iraq than the current prediction. (+15.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Iraq could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sudan - Iraq Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Abooja M. (G) 3. Saeed Ahmed M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 6. Karshom M. Al-Hilal Omdurman 7. Jobak Y. 19. Tabanja A. 5. Khidir W. Al-Hilal Omdurman 13. Taifour A. CS Sfaxien 15. Alhassan S. Al-Hilal Omdurman 8. Omer A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 10. Abdelrahman M. (C)Al-Hilal Omdurman 11. Mano J. Al Ahly Benghazi
22. Basil A. (C)Al Shorta 2. Jabbar M. Al Zawraa 5. Hashem A. Al Zawraa 23. Maknzi A. Al-Karma 7. Al Saedi H. Al Shorta 16. Karim S. Zakho 19. Nabeel K. Al Zawraa 20. Ismaeel Z. Al Talaba 9. Jawad M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 11. Abdulkareem H. Al Zawraa 13. Muhsin A. Brage
Substitutes
4. Abaker A. Al-Hilal Omdurman 21. Elneel M. (G)EL Merriekh Bentiu 18. Fadl M. 23. Kante M. 17. Manan A. 9. Mozamil Y. Al-Hilal Omdurman 22. Nooh A. G. Al Ahly Tripoli 14. Zaid A.
8. Attwan A. Zakho 12. Hassan J. (G)Al Zawraa 18. Hussein A. Al-Karma 17. Jasim A. Al Najma 14. Jasim S. Al-Karma 10. Meme Dibba Al Fujairah 4. Natiq S. Duhok 3. Saadoon M. Al Quwa Al Jawiya 1. Talib F. (G)Al Talaba 15. Yahya A. Al Shorta 6. Younis M. Al Shorta
Coaches
Kwesi Appiah J.
Arnold G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Mano J. 🟨,
58', Karim S. ↓, Saadoon M. ↑,
58', Al Saedi H. ↓, Attwan A. ↑,
58', Muhsin A. ↓, Meme ↑,
59', Saadoon M. 🟨,
68', Taifour A. ↓, Mozamil Y. ↑,
74', Jawad M. ↓, Jasim A. ↑,
76', Omer A. ↓, Manan A. ↑,
76', Mano J. ↓, Nooh A. G. ↑,
81', Abdulkareem H. ↓, Yahya A. ↑,
82', 0 - 1, Meme ⚽,
84', 0 - 2, Attwan A. ⚽, Jasim A. (A),
87', Maknzi A. 🟨,
90+1', Jobak Y. 🟨,
Preview
Sudan has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Iraq is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Iraq may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Iraq is seen as the favorite.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.