Match Info

Copa de la Reina Women - Quarter-finals

Date: 4 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Fernando Torres (Fuenlabrada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	TV Canaria


	Madrid CFF		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	2.63	3	2.5
	2.54	3.15	2.43
	7.22	3.57	1.51	Watch
	2.63	2.9	2.45
	2.68	3.04	2.44
	2.75	3.14	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (2.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.2)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Madrid CFF
28%

Draw
30.5%

Tenerife
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

28%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.7%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Madrid CFF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Madrid CFF - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ulloa P. (C) 4. Villafane S. 19. Mendoza N. 5. Monica 14. Ruiz A. 16. Antonsdottir H. 20. Sosa A. 17. Poljak A. 11. Melgard K. 7. Andonova N. 23. Nautnes E.	13. Caceres N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. 4. Dembele F. 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. (C) 16. Blanco C. 12. Castello S. 14. Ramos N. 5. Moreno Y. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S. 8. Quiles V.
Substitutes
10. Anita 30. de Gracia B. (G) 28. Hernandez S. 3. Laborde E. 9. Lopez B. 24. Olofsson F. 21. Rivas M. 6. Sanchez N. 26. Serrano N.	15. Bicho 3. Cinta Rodriguez 24. Gramaglia P. 6. Hernandez P. 2. Koko 19. Perez I. 1. Ramos N. (G)
Coaches
Sanchez J.	Yerai M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Ouzraoui Diki S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Andonova N. ↓, Anita ↑,
61', Ramos N. 🟨,
62', Ruiz A. ↓, Olofsson F. ↑,
69', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Gramaglia P. ↑,
90', Quiles V. ↓, Cinta Rodriguez ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 2.

In recent matches, Madrid CFF has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tenerife is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Madrid CFF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Madrid CFF won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 23:33. (average 1.4:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Madrid CFF won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.2:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Madrid CFF
Spanish Liga F Women
31.01.26	Levante - Madrid CFF	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Madrid CFF - Badalona	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	Eibar - Madrid CFF	1:3 ✺
10.01.26	Barcelona - Madrid CFF	12:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
21.12.25	Madrid CFF - Eibar	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLW
- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
01.02.26	Tenerife - Real Sociedad	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Espanyol - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao	5:0 ✺
11.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
09.11.25	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	0:2
25.01.25	Tenerife - Madrid CFF	2:0
07.09.24	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	2:1
14.04.24	Tenerife - Madrid CFF	2:2
22.10.23	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	3:2
12.03.23	Tenerife - Madrid CFF	5:2
29.10.22	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	2:0

Madrid CFF - Tenerife: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide