Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 8

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Pinatar Arena (Murcia)

Referee: Cuesta B. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN Espana


	Alhama		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.05	3.5	1.72
	4.33	4.21	1.7
	4.71	2.78	1.99	Watch
	4.22	4.01	1.72
	4.25	3.5	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.31 ↑ (3.81)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	1.78 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhama
21.6%

Draw
25.9%

Athletic Bilbao
52.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

25.6%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

22.6%

44.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhama than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alhama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Athletic Bilbao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alhama - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. de Toro Aldaria E. (G) 2. Zumarraga A. 3. Martinez N. 6. Quintero A. 20. Santamaria Coleto A. 18. Encarni 14. Velazquez Jurico A. 9. Pinel R. (C) 7. Yiyi 10. Alvarez A. 16. Gestera M.	13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 3. Landaluze N. 4. Bibi 17. Nevado N. 8. Zubieta M. 14. Banos L. 5. Valero M. 30. Agote D. 11. Azkona A. (C) 7. Amezaga J.
Substitutes
13. Belotto S. (G) 26. Berasategui V. 22. Diaz Leal M. 8. Estefa 11. Kuki 19. Martinez B. 17. Toro J. 5. Yannel 28. Zapata P.	23. Arana E. 21. Campos A. 6. Oguiza I. 18. Ortega S. 15. Pinedo C. 1. Santana O. (G) 2. Torre Larranaga M. 19. Vilarino M. 10. Zugasti P.
Coaches
Garcia J.	Lerga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Velazquez Jurico A. 🟨,
56', Azkona A. ↓, Ortega S. ↑,
68', Zubieta M. 🟨,
69', Valero M. ↓, Oguiza I. ↑,
69', Banos L. ↓, Pinedo C. ↑,
75', Gestera M. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
75', Martinez N. ↓, Yannel ↑,
78', Landaluze N. 🟨,
87', Amezaga J. ↓, Zugasti P. ↑,
90', Yiyi ↓, Diaz Leal M. ↑,
90+5', Pinel R. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera Federacion Women).

Alhama has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Athletic is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Alhama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Alhama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alhama CF
Spanish Liga F Women
11.10.25	Espanyol - Alhama	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Alhama - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Logroño United - Alhama	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	Alhama - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Alhama - Granada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWLT
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
12.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	1:4 ✺
04.10.25	Atlético Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
28.09.25	Athletic Bilbao - Sevilla	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Espanyol - Athletic Bilbao	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Athletic Bilbao	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
21.04.23	Athletic Bilbao - Alhama	1:0
15.01.23	Alhama - Athletic Bilbao	2:1

Alhama - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide