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Current Win Probability
Sevilla 29.3%
Draw 28%
Madrid CFF 42.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.9%
27.6%
42.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.4%
27.2%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Madrid CFF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madrid CFF than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Sevilla - Madrid CFF Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Sullastres E. (G) 17. Garcia D. 16. Arnaiz I. 5. Llamas E. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 22. Hagel C. 6. Redondo A. 20. Marquez R. 8. Alvarez A. 23. Gabarro I. 7. Morcillo R.
1. Ulloa P. (G) 19. Mendoza N. 5. Monica 4. Villafane S. 16. Antonsdottir H. 8. Marcetto M. 17. Poljak A. 20. Sosa A. 7. Andonova N. 10. Anita 11. Melgard K.
Substitutes
19. Cerrato A. 13. Echezarreta M. (G) 9. Kanteh Cham F. 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 11. Moral L.
30. Gracia B. (G) 3. Laborde E. 9. Lopez B. 23. Nautnes E. 21. Rivas M. 14. Ruiz A. 6. Sanchez N.
Coaches
Losada D.
Aguado J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', Anita ↓, Nautnes E. ↑,
32', 0 - 1, Antonsdottir H. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Alvarez A. ⚽, Marquez R. (A),
60', Redondo A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 2, Monica (Pen),
65', Marcetto M. ↓, Laborde E. ↑,
66', Andonova N. ↓, Lopez B. ↑,
67', Hagel C. 🟨,
69', Hagel C. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
69', Alvarez A. ↓, Kanteh Cham F. ↑,
70', Nautnes E. 🟨,
76', Ulloa P. 🟨,
80', 1 - 3, Lopez B. ⚽, Melgard K. (A),
85', Poljak A. ↓, Rivas M. ↑,
85', Sosa A. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
85', Martin-Pozuelo E. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 6)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Madrid CFF may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Madrid CFF is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.8:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 2:1.5).