Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Alhaurino		Atlético Porcuna

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.05	3.35
	2.06	3.16	3.44
	2.06	3.21	3.46
	2.05	3	3.4
	2.05	3.08	3.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.08)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.42 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alhaurino
44.3%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Porcuna
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

30.1%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

31.7%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Atlético Porcuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Porcuna than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
83', 1 - 0, ⚽,
83', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 9).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Atlético Porcuna may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Alhaurino could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alhaurino won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Alhaurino won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Atletico de Porcuna	5	2	0	3	6:14	-8	6
15	CD Alhaurino	5	1	1	3	3:7	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Alhaurino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
05.04.26	Torre Del Mar - Alhaurino	1:0 ✺
29.03.26	Alhaurino - El Palo	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	UD San Pedro - Alhaurino	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Alhaurino - Motril	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alhaurino - Torredonjimeno	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LWTLT
- Atlético Porcuna
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
04.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Torredonjimeno	3:1 ✺
01.04.26	Atlético Porcuna - Mancha Real	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Granada B - Atlético Porcuna	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Atlético Porcuna - Huétor Vega	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Huétor Tájar - Atlético Porcuna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
07.12.25	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	3:4
05.03.22	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	2:3
07.11.21	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	2:0
30.05.21	Atlético Porcuna - Alhaurino	0:1
25.04.21	Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna	1:2

Alhaurino - Atlético Porcuna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide