Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 28Date: 29 March 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Alhaurino |
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El Palo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.55 |
3.65 |
5.15 |
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 |
1.57 |
3.69 |
5.58 |
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 |
1.74 |
3.15 |
5.29 |
 Watch |
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1.6 |
3.4 |
5 |
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1.64 |
3.75 |
5.21 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.81) |
3.53 ↑
(3.35) |
5.25 ↑
(4) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alhaurino
56.6% | Draw
26% | El Palo
17.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alhaurino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alhaurino's performance.El Palo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and El Palo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alhaurino than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Alhaurino - El Palo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45+1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 56', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 84', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation).Recent form of Alhaurino has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).In recent matches, El Palo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, Alhaurino is seen as the favorite.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alhaurino won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1.2:1.6).Including home matches between the teams, Alhaurino won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9 | | | 16.11.25 | El Palo - Alhaurino | 2:1 | | 23.01.22 | Alhaurino - El Palo | 1:2 | | 28.03.21 | Alhaurino - El Palo | 1:1 | | 20.12.20 | El Palo - Alhaurino | 0:2 | | 15.12.18 | El Palo - Alhaurino | 3:1 |
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