Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 19

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Aliaga		Guzide Gebzespor

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.7	5.35
	1.6	3.68	5.28	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.5
	1.5	4.07	5.85
	1.41	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.39)	3.87 ↓ (3.89)	5.7 ↓ (7.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Aliaga
60.8%

Draw
23.3%

Guzide Gebzespor
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

23.3%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

19.7%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Guzide Gebzespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliaga that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guzide Gebzespor than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aliaga (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Kilic H. ⚽, Cetin V. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 6 and 7)

Aliaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Guzide Gebzespor has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guzide Gebzespor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Aliaga is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Aliaga won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliaga FK
Turkish Cup
14.01.26	Aliaga - Samsunspor	2:6 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Kahramanmaraş İstiklalspor - Aliaga	2:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
24.12.25	Igdirspor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.12.25	Bursaspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Aliaga - Aksaray Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLTTT
- Guzide Gebzespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
10.01.26	Guzide Gebzespor - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
17.12.25	Mardin 1969 - Guzide Gebzespor	2:2 ✺
12.12.25	Fethiyespor - Guzide Gebzespor	0:0 ✺
07.12.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Muş Spor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
30.08.25	Guzide Gebzespor - Aliaga	1:0

Aliaga - Guzide Gebzespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide