Match Info
2. Lig Red Group - Round 21Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Aliaga |
|
Mardin 1969 |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.02 |
3.15 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2 |
3.29 |
3.52 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.26 |
3.45 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.41 |
3.3 |
|
 |
1.96 |
3.2 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.05) |
3.22 ↑
(3) |
3.35 ↑
(3.3) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Aliaga
44.8% | Draw
28.1% | Mardin 1969
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Mardin 1969 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mardin 1969 than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Aliaga - Mardin 1969 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
#ad
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 44', 1 - 0, Babaoglu T. ⚽, Koc A. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', 2 - 0, Acikgoz M. ⚽, Kavaklidere H. (A),
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Mardin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Aliaga could have a small edge in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aliaga won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).Including home match between the teams, Aliaga won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Bet £10 and get £30 in Free Bets
