Match Info

Date: 2 December 2020, Wednesday


	Alianza Atlético		Santos

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.5	6.5
	1.42	4	5.5
	1.47	3.95	5
	1.49	4.27	6.06
	1.47	3.75	6
	1.52	4.2	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.49)	4.11 ↑ (4.08)	5.74 ↑ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Atlético
62.2%

Draw
22%

Santos
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.4%

17.8%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Atlético has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Atlético than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Atlético, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Alianza Atlético - Santos Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Neutral location. No spectators.

Alianza Atlético in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Santos FC is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alianza Atlético is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Alianza Atlético to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Atlético won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Atlético
Peruvian Liga 2
26.11.20	Alianza Atlético - Unión Huaral	0:0 ✺
18.11.20	Molinos El Pirata - Alianza Atlético	1:2 ✺
11.11.20	Alianza Atlético - Chavelines Juniors	3:1 ✺
04.11.20	Los Chankas - Alianza Atlético	1:3 ✺
28.10.20	Alianza Atlético - Deportivo Coopsol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 TWWWW
- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
26.11.20	Deportivo Coopsol - Santos	1:1 ✺
18.11.20	Santos - Unión Comercio	3:4 ✺
11.11.20	Comerciantes Unidos - Santos	3:2 ✺
04.11.20	Santos - Juan Aurich	1:3 ✺
27.10.20	Los Chankas - Santos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
20.10.19	Santos - Alianza Atlético	1:1
28.07.19	Alianza Atlético - Santos	0:1

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