Match Info

CONCACAF Central American Cup

Date: 20 August 2026, Thursday

Location: Estadio Javier Cruz (Panama City)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Alianza Panama		Olimpia Tegucigalpa

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.20	3.40	1.70
	4.35	3.25	1.72
	4.10	3.63	1.81
	4.58	3.68	1.72	Watch
	3.85	3.55	1.75
	4.27	3.66	1.78	Watch
	4.50	3.45	1.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.11)	3.52 ↑ (3.31)	1.74 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Panama
21.4%

Draw
26%

Olimpia Tegucigalpa
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

28.1%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

27.6%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Panama's form might have worsened.

Olimpia Tegucigalpa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olimpia Tegucigalpa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Panama than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alianza Panama, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Tegucigalpa than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olimpia Tegucigalpa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alianza Panama - Olimpia Tegucigalpa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Gonzalez J. (G) 11. Spencer D. 31. Machado A. (C) 23. Marquinez J. 3. Ortega Y. 10. Chiari G. 16. Mitre R. 18. Perdomo R. 17. Asprilla J. 9. Walters B. 13. Mendoza A.	1. Menjivar E. (C) 7. Enriquez I. 2. Hernandez E. 3. Bennett C. 5. Cuello E. 8. Rodriguez E. 20. Maldonado A. 14. Jean-Baptiste J. 6. Garcia F. 9. Benguche J. 31. Dibble N.
Substitutes
28. Alvarado J. 5. Campos O. 51. Carvajal D. 26. Garces J. 53. Hidalgo J. 1. Lopez Giraldo J. (G) 8. Rangel G. 40. Rodriguez C. 22. Rodriguez M. 29. Stewart A.	19. Arboleda Y. 12. Canales C. 33. Chirinos M. 18. Garcia R. 15. Guity K. 4. Lobo E. 45. Martinez B. 39. Ortiz A. 25. Paguada D. 21. Pena K. 68. Rodriguez J. 22. Rodriguez O. (G)
Coaches
Palacios J.	Espinel E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
27', Marquinez J. 🟨,
31', Maldonado A. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Enriquez I. ⚽, Garcia F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', Mendoza A. ↓, Stewart A. ↑,
55', Mitre R. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
63', Dibble N. ↓, Pena K. ↑,
64', Spencer D. ↓, Rangel G. ↑,
64', Chiari G. ↓, Garces J. ↑,
71', 0 - 2, Benguche J. ⚽, Pena K. (A),
72', Jean-Baptiste J. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
73', Enriquez I. ↓, Chirinos M. ↑,
75', Walters B. ↓, Alvarado J. ↑,
76', 1 - 2, Stewart A. ⚽, Perdomo R. (A),
80', 1 - 3, Chirinos M. ⚽, Garcia R. (A),
83', Rodriguez E. ↓, Guity K. ↑,
83', Benguche J. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
88', Menjivar E. 🟨,

Preview

Recent performances by Alianza have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Olimpia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Alianza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Olimpia has had a series of home games.

In this match, Olimpia is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Alianza Panama - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.88%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Panama FC
Liga Panamena de Futbol
16.08.26	Alianza Panama - Plaza Amador	2:4 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
13.08.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Deportivo Saprissa - Alianza Panama	2:1 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
31.07.26	Árabe Unido - Alianza Panama	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Alianza Panama - UMECIT	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWLWT
- CD Olimpia Tegucigalpa
Honduras Liga Nacional
16.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	3:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
05.08.26	UMECIT - Olimpia Tegucigalpa	1:2 ✺
Honduras Liga Nacional
02.08.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Lobos UPNFM	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Deportivo Mixco	2:0 ✺
Honduras Super Cup
23.07.26	Olimpia Tegucigalpa - Motagua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWW

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