Match Info
Primera Division - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finalsDate: 9 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estadio Cuscatlán (San Salvador)
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Alianza San Miguel |
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Águila |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2 |
3.2 |
3.2 |
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2 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
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2.03 |
3.43 |
3.52 |
 Watch |
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2.04 |
3.25 |
3.31 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↓
(2.07) |
3.27 ↓
(3.36) |
3.33 ↓
(3.37) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Alianza San Miguel
45% | Draw
27.8% | Águila
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Águila has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águila than the current prediction. (+0.3%)Alianza San Miguel - Águila Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 23', 0 - 1, Granitto T. ⚽,
- 42', 0 - 2, Turcios J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg. Alianza is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs ) Águila is Qualified for Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs )In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.Recently, Alianza has had a series of away games.Recently, Águila has had a series of home games. Alianza will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:22. (average 0.9:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.7:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Aguila | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 22:18 | 4 | 20 |
| 6 | Alianza FC | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 19:17 | 2 | 18 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Alianza San Miguel - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.84%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| El Salvador Primera Division | | | 06.05.26 | Águila - Alianza San Miguel | 2:1 | | 15.04.26 | Alianza San Miguel - Águila | 0:2 | | 18.02.26 | Águila - Alianza San Miguel | 0:3 | | 01.11.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Águila | 0:1 | | 19.09.25 | Águila - Alianza San Miguel | 1:2 | | 13.04.25 | Alianza San Miguel - Águila | 0:1 | | 15.02.25 | Águila - Alianza San Miguel | 0:1 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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