Match Info

PERU: LIGA 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Juan Aurich

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	4.75
	1.56	3.98	5.05
	1.52	3.75	5.5
	1.54	4.1	5.2
	1.52	3.95	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.47)	3.94 ↑ (3.7)	5.1 ↓ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
59.2%

Draw
23.1%

Juan Aurich
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.9%

23.8%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

22.4%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Juan Aurich has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Aurich than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Figueroa E. (G) 21. Aoki A. 17. Campodonico R. 10. Carabano D. (C) 28. Cruzado P. 7. Espinoza Vega F. E. 14. Guevara B. 6. Ibarguen J. 26. Iraola G. 3. Schmidt F. 38. Sernaque J.	1. Quiroz R. (G) 11. Almircar Rai C. C. 17. Cabrera F. 6. Carrillo L. 22. Cieza C. 23. Diaz L. 26. Guidino Otero J. A. 27. Lopez A. 10. Lugo K. 2. Pacheco O. 14. Salas V.
Substitutes
19. Aivar F. 20. Encinas D. 24. Gonzales J. 4. Laura C. 22. Plasencia I. 95. Prieto D. (G) 11. Vasquez Ortega E. O.	3. Butron F. 29. Guevara A. 13. Reyes O. 30. Rodriguez C. 21. Salcedo J. 28. Silva M. 31. Stein A. (G)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

Alianza Universidad is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Juan Aurich is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Alianza Universidad is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Alianza Universidad won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Alianza Universidad won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
11.06.23	Los Chankas - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	2:2 ✺
05.06.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos	0:3 ✺
29.05.23	Deportivo Coopsol - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	0:1 ✺
24.05.23	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Deportivo Llacuabamba	0:1 ✺
19.05.23	Santos - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 TLWLL
- Juan Aurich
Peruvian Liga 2
12.06.23	Juan Aurich - Ayacucho	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Los Chankas - Juan Aurich	2:0 ✺
30.05.23	Juan Aurich - Carlos Stein	3:1 ✺
23.05.23	Comerciantes Unidos - Juan Aurich	2:2 ✺
17.05.23	Juan Aurich - Universidad San Martín	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
21.08.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Juan Aurich	3:1
22.05.22	Juan Aurich - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:3

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