Match Info

Date: 8 June 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Heraclio Tapia (Huánuco)


	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco		Chavelines Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.25	7.25
	1.33	5	5.5
	1.15	7	8.6
	1.29	5.64	7.29
	1.27	5.5	7
	1.23	6.5	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.6)	5.82 ↑ (3.68)	7.26 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
72%

Draw
15.6%

Chavelines Juniors
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

24.4%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

23.8%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alianza Universidad de Huánuco's performance.

Chavelines Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chavelines Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza Universidad de Huánuco than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alianza Universidad de Huánuco that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chavelines Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.1%	13.5%	32.4%

Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Chavelines Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Alianza Universidad will win (votes: 20 - 54.1%). Chavelines Juniors will win (votes: 12 - 32.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alianza Universidad: 38% – 70.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 13).

Recent matches Alianza Universidad is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chavelines Juniors is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chavelines Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Alianza Universidad is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Universidad de Huánuco
Peruvian Liga 2
04.06.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Comerciantes Unidos	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	Juan Aurich - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	3:3 ✺
15.05.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Unión Huaral	1:3 ✺
07.05.22	Deportivo Coopsol - Alianza Universidad de Huánuco	1:1 ✺
01.05.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLTW
- Chavelines Juniors
Peruvian Liga 2
05.06.22	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	3:0 ✺
29.05.22	Chavelines Juniors - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Chavelines Juniors	5:1 ✺
15.05.22	Chavelines Juniors - Pirata	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Chavelines Juniors	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

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