The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santos 70.3%
Draw 17%
Chavelines Juniors 12.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44%
26.3%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
25.3%
28.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.
Chavelines Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chavelines Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-24.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (+15.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chavelines Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
82.2%
2.7%
15.1%
Santos - Chavelines Juniors Predictions
Users Predictions:
Santos will win
(60 of 73 users predict this - 82.19%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.41% โ 90.97%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12).
Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
In this match Santos is the unquestionable favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.
Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.