Match Info

Date: 5 June 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Santos		Chavelines Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.29	5.25	6.75
	1.35	4.85	5.75
	1.25	5.2	7.4
	1.19	5.83	9.34
	1.3	5	7
	1.31	5.65	6.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (2.06)	5.3 ↑ (3.45)	7.12 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Santos
70.3%

Draw
17%

Chavelines Juniors
12.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44%

26.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.7%

25.5%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Santos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+26.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santos's performance.

Chavelines Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chavelines Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santos than the current prediction. (-24.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chavelines Juniors than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chavelines Juniors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.2%	2.7%	15.1%

Santos - Chavelines Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: Santos will win (60 of 73 users predict this - 82.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.41% – 90.97%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 and 12).

Two teams are in a poor body shape now.

In this match Santos is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Santos won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Santos de Nasca
Peruvian Liga 2
29.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Santos	1:1 ✺
22.05.22	Santos - Cusco	1:2 ✺
15.05.22	Unión Comercio - Santos	3:1 ✺
08.05.22	Santos - Comerciantes Unidos	2:0 ✺
01.05.22	Alianza Universidad de Huánuco - Santos	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLLWL
- Chavelines Juniors
Peruvian Liga 2
29.05.22	Chavelines Juniors - Los Chankas	0:1 ✺
22.05.22	Deportivo Llacuabamba - Chavelines Juniors	5:1 ✺
15.05.22	Chavelines Juniors - Pirata	1:0 ✺
01.05.22	Alfonso Ugarte de Puno - Chavelines Juniors	2:0 ✺
24.04.22	Chavelines Juniors - Cusco	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Peruvian Liga 2
09.08.21	Chavelines Juniors - Santos	3:0
26.05.21	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	2:1
18.12.20	Santos - Chavelines Juniors	1:3

Santos - Chavelines Juniors