Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 4

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau (Valledupar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, SportsEngine Play


	Alianza Valledupar		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.88	2.88	Watch
	3.00	3.00	2.30
	2.78	2.98	2.68	Watch
	2.66	2.89	2.79
	2.9	2.86	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.85	2.85
	2.97	2.95	2.82	Watch
	2.75	2.9	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.4)	2.91 ↓ (3.1)	2.72 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alianza Valledupar
33.2%

Draw
32.2%

Atlético Bucaramanga
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

30.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alianza Valledupar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alianza Valledupar's form might have worsened.

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wallens J. (G) 60. Rosales Y. 5. Franco P. (C) 32. Viveros J. 33. Lasso J. 7. Castillo J. 15. Esparragoza C. 17. Pardo F. 10. Quinones D. 8. Munoz J. 18. Vergara C.	25. Fiermarin C. (G) 6. Castrillon N. 23. Romana C. 24. Ortiz J. 4. Garcia J. 8. Hinestroza F. 21. Charrupi F. 28. Flores L. 17. Batalla E. 10. Sambueza F. (C) 27. Pons L.
Substitutes
23. Alba I. 40. Beltran E. (G) 24. Cantillo F. 22. Figueroa J. 77. Martinez M. 4. Mosquera J. 88. Palacios L. 29. Rojas J. 14. Villegas C.	9. Caicedo B. 22. Fabry 19. Gutierrez A. 5. Murrilo A. 12. Novoa D. (G) 11. Salazar J. 20. Zarate A.
Coaches
Ayala C.	Peirano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Charrupi F. ⚽, Batalla E. (A),
28', 1 - 1, Vergara C. ⚽, Quinones D. (A),
34', 1 - 2, Pons L. ⚽, Sambueza F. (A),
37', Sambueza F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
47', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
63', Flores L. ↓, Zarate A. ↑,
67', Esparragoza C. ↓, Cantillo F. ↑,
69', Pardo F. 🟨,
69', Charrupi F. ↓, Fabry ↑,
69', Hinestroza F. ↓, Murrilo A. ↑,
75', Pardo F. ↓, Alba I. ↑,
75', Quinones D. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
76', Pons L. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
76', Castrillon N. ↓, Gutierrez A. ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Martinez M. ⚽,
86', Garcia J. 🟨,
86', Munoz J. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Batalla E. ⚽, Caicedo B. (A),
90+3', Batalla E. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 1.

Bucaramanga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Alianza won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 24:35. (average 1.2:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Alianza won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Bucaramanga	11	6	5	0	20:10	10	23
15	Alianza	13	3	3	7	14:26	-12	12

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.08%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alianza Valledupar
Colombian Primera A
01.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
26.07.26	Alianza Valledupar - Fortaleza CEIF	1:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
24.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Deportivo Cali - Alianza Valledupar	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Real Santander	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LTWLW
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
03.08.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Cúcuta Deportivo	1:1 ✺
30.07.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Llaneros SA	1:1 ✺
25.07.26	Millonarios - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
24.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1 ✺
20.05.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boca Juniors de Cali	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Copa
24.05.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	2:1
Colombian Primera A
01.02.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	5:0
06.09.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	3:1
03.08.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3
23.03.25	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:2
18.02.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Alianza Valledupar	0:0
14.11.24	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Bucaramanga	0:4

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