Match Info

Date: 9 March 2022, Wednesday


	Aliança Pilarense		Murici

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.8	3	2.3
	2.8	2.7	2.43
	3.05	2.95	2.27
	3.03	2.95	2.45
	2.88	3.02	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.91 ↓ (3.43)	2.92 ↓ (3.1)	2.38 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aliança Pilarense
31.1%

Draw
30.9%

Murici
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

29.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

22.5%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aliança Pilarense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Murici has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Murici might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliança Pilarense than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aliança Pilarense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Murici than the current prediction. (+19.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Murici could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Aliança is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Murici is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Murici will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Aliança won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Aliança Pilarense
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
27.02.22	CRB Maceio - Aliança Pilarense	2:0 ✺
13.02.22	Cruzeiro Arapiraca - Aliança Pilarense	1:0 ✺
02.02.22	Aliança Pilarense - Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense	1:1 ✺
26.01.22	Clube Sociedade Esportiva - Aliança Pilarense	1:1 ✺
20.01.22	Aliança Pilarense - CS Alagoano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTTL
- Murici FC
Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
27.02.22	Jacyobá - Murici	0:3 ✺
12.02.22	Murici - Clube Sociedade Esportiva	1:0 ✺
03.02.22	Murici - Cruzeiro Arapiraca	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Agremiação Sportiva Arapiraquense - Murici	2:0 ✺
26.01.22	CRB Maceio - Murici	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Alagoano
21.03.21	Murici - Aliança Pilarense	0:1

Aliança Pilarense - Murici: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide