The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Murici 32.9%
Draw 40.2%
Clube Sociedade Esportiva 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
40.1%
27.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.8%
41%
27.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Murici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Clube Sociedade Esportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Murici than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clube Sociedade Esportiva than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Murici - Clube Sociedade Esportiva Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Robert (G) 4. Alex Moreira 2. Alex Murici 11. Caio Vinicius 6. Caique 5. Denilson 16. Leo Itaperuna 3. Leo Reis 10. Marcelinho 7. Wesley 8. Weverton
1. Jeferson (G) 10. Bustamante H. 6. Carlos Henrique 7. Celestino 5. Claudevan 3. Eduardo Leite 2. Edvelton 8. Jean Cleber 90. Luiz Paulo 11. Pedro Junior 4. Rafael Vaz
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
19', 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Eduardo Leite (Own goal),
37', 2 - 0, Leo Itaperuna (Penalty Awarded),
40', 🟨,
40', Celestino 🟨,
42', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Jean Cleber 🟨,
52', 3 - 0, Leo Itaperuna ⚽,
58', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
90', 3 - 1, Eduardo Leite ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Alagoano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murici won 3.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Recently, CSE has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Murici won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Murici won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
Watch
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Robert (G) 
Weverton 
Bustamante H. 
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