Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 16

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Islas Malvinas Stadium (Floresta)

Referee: Cavallero L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	All Boys		Alvarado

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.98	2.9	4
	2.05	2.95	3.95	Watch
	2.16	2.99	4.17
	2.09	2.94	4.07	Watch
	2	2.9	4.2
	2.06	3.01	4.01	Watch
	2.05	2.95	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)	2.97 ↓ (3.1)	4.07 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

All Boys
45.6%

Draw
31.5%

Alvarado
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.2%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

27.1%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

All Boys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alvarado might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for All Boys than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with All Boys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alvarado could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

All Boys - Alvarado Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. All Boys will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Alvarado will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for All Boys: 29% – 96%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. All Boys (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramil Sauer L. (G) 4. Grana H. 2. Coronel M. 6. Rodriguez A. 3. Bovone T. 11. Salas J. 8. Passaglia J. 5. Figueroa I. 10. Calone T. 7. Assennato T. 9. Campostrini C.	1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Blasi B. (C) 6. Silva K. 3. Irazoque J. 8. Bolivar A. 5. Mansilla M. 7. Martinez E. 11. Gobetto J. 9. Susvielles J. 10. Bergara M.
Substitutes
20. Ceballos J. 14. De Vito Y. 13. Ferrari J. 18. Gallo A. 19. Gonzalez B. 12. Libares T. (G) 16. Melo A. 17. Palacio I. 15. Veinticinco J.	15. Ascacibar J. 19. Becker D. 20. Bolzicco T. 16. Borgnino M. 18. Castellano A. 12. Henricot F. (G) 17. Miori M. 13. Monzon L. 14. Ortale M.
Coaches
Campodonico M.	Quattrocchi P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Bolivar A. ⚽,
18', Silva K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Salas J. ↓, Ceballos J. ↑,
46', Calone T. ↓, Melo A. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Ceballos J. (Pen),
56', Susvielles J. ↓, Becker D. ↑,
56', Bergara M. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
65', Figueroa I. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
75', Assennato T. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
77', Gobetto J. ↓, Castellano A. ↑,
88', Bovone T. ↓, Veinticinco J. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

All Boys may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, All Boys is a strong favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, All Boys won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, All Boys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA All Boys
Argentinian Primera Nacional
18.05.25	Deportivo Madryn - All Boys	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	All Boys - Deportivo Maipú	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - All Boys	0:0 ✺
28.04.25	All Boys - Tristán Suárez	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	San Martín de Tucumán - All Boys	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTTLT
- CA Alvarado
Argentinian Primera Nacional
11.05.25	Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn	0:2 ✺
04.05.25	Deportivo Maipú - Alvarado	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Alvarado - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Alvarado	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Alvarado - San Martín de Tucumán	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.07.24	All Boys - Alvarado	1:0
25.02.24	Alvarado - All Boys	1:0
20.08.23	Alvarado - All Boys	0:0
08.04.23	All Boys - Alvarado	2:1
04.06.22	All Boys - Alvarado	3:1

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