The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alvarado 31.5%
Draw 33.6%
Deportivo Madryn 34.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
40.9%
31.9%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
30.3%
25.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alvarado has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alvarado's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Madryn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportivo Madryn's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alvarado than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alvarado, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Madryn than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportivo Madryn, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
50%
0%
Alvarado - Deportivo Madryn Predictions
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Alvarado will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Alvarado: 15.4% – 84.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Alvarado (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Alvarado (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 4. Werro V. 2. Silva K. 6. Monzon L. 3. Aleo A. 8. Mansilla M. 5. Ascacibar J. 7. Martinez E. 11. Becker D. (C) 9. Susvielles J. 10. Bergara M.
1. Bonnin Y. (C) 4. Sosa A. 2. Giacopuzzi F. 6. Gutierrez A. 3. Martinez D. 8. Perez B. 5. Recalde F. 11. Rivero G. 7. Crego D. 9. Silba L. 10. Solis N.
Substitutes
15. Bolivar A. 20. Bolzicco T. 17. Borgnino M. 13. Fernandez T. 12. Henricot F. (G) 18. Miori M. 14. Ortale M. 19. Ortiz D. 16. Vega F.
16. Bustos A. 17. Cascini B. 12. Hass J. (G) 18. Jara E. 19. Juncos B. 13. Minissale P. 15. Pruzzo L. 20. Torres G. 14. Yossen T.
Coaches
Quattrocchi P.
Gracian L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Monzon L. 🟨,
25', 0 - 1, Rivero G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Solis N. ↓, Jara E. ↑,
59', Susvielles J. ↓, Ortiz D. ↑,
60', Becker D. ↓, Bolzicco T. ↑,
64', Werro V. 🟨,
66', Giacopuzzi F. ↓, Minissale P. ↑,
68', Aleo A. 🟥,
71', 0 - 2, Perez B. (Pen),
78', Rivero G. ↓, Torres G. ↑,
80', 🟨,
81', 🟨,
84', Bergara M. ↓, Miori M. ↑,
90', Perez B. ↓, Juncos B. ↑,
90', Crego D. ↓, Cascini B. ↑,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 3.
Alvarado is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Madryn has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Alvarado may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Alvarado won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:6. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Alvarado won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Alvarado - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.94%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Gomez Riga E. F. (G) 
Perez B. 
Ortiz D. 
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