Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 27

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Muniz C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Almería		Córdoba

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.5	3.2	Watch
	2.1	3.5	3.15	Watch
	2.12	3.75	3.64
	2.15	3.48	3.34	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.2
	2.17	3.54	3.23	Watch
	2.05	3.33	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.03)	3.49 ↑ (3.44)	3.34 ↓ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
44.6%

Draw
27.1%

Córdoba
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

27.2%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

28.6%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Córdoba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Córdoba than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Almería - Córdoba Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Córdoba will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Almería (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 8. Gui Guedes 29. Dzodic S. 12. Leo Baptistao 11. Arribas S. 7. Morcillo J. 24. de la Fuente M.	1. Alvarez I. (G) 21. Albarran C. 4. Alex Martin 15. Sintes X. 5. Bri D. 30. Requena D. 8. Ruiz I. 25. Goti Lopez M. 23. Carracedo C. 18. Fuentes A. 10. Gonzalez J.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 23. Embarba A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 2. Puigmal A. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys	17. Adilson 19. de Almeida D. 14. Guardiola S. 13. Marin C. (G) 11. Medina K. 9. Obolskiy N. 24. Ortiz P. 6. Percan 2. Vilarrasa I.
Coaches
Rubi	Ania I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', Munoz A. 🟨,
27', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. ⚽, Monte N. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Albarran C. 🟨,
65', Morcillo J. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
65', Leo Baptistao ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
68', Requena D. ↓, de Almeida D. ↑,
77', Bri D. ↓, Guardiola S. ↑,
77', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Percan ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Percan ⚽, Ruiz I. (A),
84', Arribas S. ↓, Rodrigo Ely ↑,
84', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
84', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
85', Carracedo C. ↓, Adilson ↑,
85', Fuentes A. ↓, Obolskiy N. ↑,
90+6', Embarba A. 🟨,
90+7', Ruiz I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3.

In recent matches, Almería has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Córdoba is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Córdoba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Almería will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Baba I. (Yellow Cards) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury) Melamed N. (Injury) Soko P. (Personal Reasons)

There will not play in Córdoba: Alves R. (Injury) Fomeyem F. (Ankle Injury) Zidane T. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Córdoba: del Moral A. (Ribs Injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Almería won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:22. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:8. (average 1.9:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21
18	Cordoba	9	3	0	6	14:20	-6	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
13.02.26	Almería - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWWLL
- Córdoba CF
Spanish LaLiga2
14.02.26	Córdoba - Leganés	2:1 ✺
31.01.26	Córdoba - Valladolid	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Las Palmas - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Córdoba - Málaga	0:1 ✺
12.01.26	Huesca - Córdoba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Córdoba - Almería	1:1
12.01.25	Córdoba - Almería	0:3
26.11.24	Almería - Córdoba	4:0
Club Friendly
23.07.22	Almería - Córdoba	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
24.02.19	Almería - Córdoba	3:1
06.10.18	Córdoba - Almería	1:0
20.05.18	Córdoba - Almería	2:0

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