Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 25

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Mirandilla (Cadiz)

Referee: Fuentes A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN, Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA
Australia	beIN Connect
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Chile	Disney+
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Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DAZN, Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DAZN, Disney+


	Cádiz		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.57	3.4	2.5	Watch
	2.62	3.25	2.52
	2.81	3.32	2.65
	2.71	3.32	2.61	Watch
	2.63	3.2	2.5
	2.75	3.35	2.64
	2.71	3.25	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.7)	3.3 ↓ (3.46)	2.57 ↑ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cádiz
35%

Draw
28.5%

Almería
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

27.3%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9%

27.4%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cádiz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cádiz than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Cádiz - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Cádiz will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Aznar V. (G) 20. Carcelen I. (C) 27. Fernandez P. 6. Recio I. 21. Climent M. 16. Cordero A. 5. Diakite M. 15. Ortuno S. 10. Ocampo B. 17. Camara D. 23. Pascual A.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 14. Baba I. 6. Horta A. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 7. Morcillo J. 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
38. Arribas S. 29. Caicedo A. 19. de la Rosa J. 18. Diarra Y. 34. Diaz Peregrina J. 37. Domina J. 8. Fernandez A. 1. Gil D. (G) 24. Gonzalez J. 9. Marti R. 22. Ontiveros J. 33. Pereira R.	20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 8. Gui Guedes 31. Iribarne B. (G) 12. Leo Baptistao 13. Martinez F. (G) 2. Puigmal A. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Garitano G.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
8', Carcelen I. 🟨,
14', Embarba A. 🟨,
25', 0 - 2, Morcillo J. ⚽, Embarba A. (A),
27', Climent M. 🟨,
31', 1 - 2, Pascual A. ⚽, Climent M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Horta A. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
57', Ocampo B. 🟨,
63', Ocampo B. ↓, Ontiveros J. ↑,
65', Embarba A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
65', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
72', Ortuno S. ↓, Fernandez A. ↑,
72', Climent M. ↓, Pereira R. ↑,
75', de la Fuente M. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
78', Baba I. 🟨,
79', Arribas S. ↓, Rodrigo Ely ↑,
84', Camara D. ↓, Marti R. ↑,
84', Fernandez P. ↓, de la Rosa J. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 1.

Cádiz is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Cádiz: Caicedo A. (Injury) Kovacevic B. (Injury) Moreno J. (Red Card) Ontiveros J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Suso (Injury) Tabatadze I. (Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Knock) Dzodic S. (Yellow Cards) Fidel Cedillo Segura P. (Injury) Lopy D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Cádiz won 7 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cádiz won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.1:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21
20	Cadiz CF	8	1	4	3	11:10	1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cádiz CF
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.26	Huesca - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
24.01.26	Cádiz - Granada	1:2 ✺
18.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
09.01.26	Cádiz - Sporting de Gijón	3:2 ✺
04.01.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWT
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Almería - Deportivo A Coruña	1:2 ✺
10.01.26	Mirandés - Almería	2:2 ✺
03.01.26	Almería - Granada	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0
09.05.25	Cádiz - Almería	2:1
22.12.24	Almería - Cádiz	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
25.05.24	Almería - Cádiz	6:1
26.08.23	Cádiz - Almería	1:1
18.03.23	Almería - Cádiz	1:1
30.12.22	Cádiz - Almería	1:1

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