What is the expert prediction for Almería vs Deportivo Alavés?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Almería vs Deportivo Alavés. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Almería vs Deportivo Alavés Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Friday, January 26, 2024)

Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 22

Date: 26 January 2024, Friday

Location: Power Horse Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 1
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport
Portugal	Eleven Sports 3
Romania	Prima Sport 3
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Almería		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.7
	2.85	3.1	2.75	Watch
	2.85	3.15	2.76
	2.88	3.1	2.8
	2.6	3.2	2.62
	2.85	3.16	2.75	Watch
	2.8	3.15	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)	3.13 ↓ (3.31)	2.73 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
34.3%

Draw
30.6%

Deportivo Alavés
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

28.7%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

29.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	47.3%	25.5%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 15 - 27.3%). Alavés will win (votes: 14 - 25.5%). It will Tie (votes: 26 - 47.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 34.1% – 60.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 18. Pubill M. 22. Montes C. 21. Chumi 15. Akieme S. 3. Gonzalez E. 6. Lopy D. 19. Arribas S. 5. Robertone L. 10. Embarba A. 12. Leo Baptistao	1. Sivera A. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 16. Marin R. 3. Duarte R. 27. Lopez J. 6. Guevara A. 8. Blanco A. 18. Guridi J. 22. Vicente C. 32. Omorodion S. 11. Rioja L.
Substitutes
4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 29. Milovanovic M. 17. Pozo A. 16. Radovanovic A. 38. Romero L. 33. Svidersky M.	17. Alkain X. 23. Benavidez C. 15. Garcia K. 44. Gonzalez V. P. 10. Hagi I. 19. Maras N. 30. Mendes T. 21. Rebbach A. 33. Rodriguez A. (G) 20. Simeone G. 7. Sola A. 14. Tenaglia N.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Garcia L.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 12).

Almería is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alavés is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Ramazani L. (Yellow Cards) Sanca M. (National selection)

There will not play in Alavés: Abqar A. (National selection) Owono J. (National selection) Sedlar A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Almería: Montes C. (Knee Injury) Puigmal A. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-2.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
21.01.24	Real Madrid - Almería	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Almería - Girona	0:0 ✺
04.01.24	Osasuna - Almería	1:0 ✺
20.12.23	Barcelona - Almería	3:2 ✺
17.12.23	Almería - Mallorca	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LTLLT
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.24	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
12.01.24	Sevilla - Deportivo Alavés	2:3 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.24	Deportivo Alavés - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.01.24	Real Sociedad - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
05.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:0
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	5:0
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.16	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:1
20.09.15	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	0:2

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