Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 1

Date: 17 August 2026, Monday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Sky Sport
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Almería		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.50	6.25
	1.35	4.7	7.2	Watch
	1.4	5.14	7.91
	1.38	5.08	7.66	Watch
	1.35	5	7.75
	1.39	5.23	7.75	Watch
	1.38	5	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↑ (1.29)	4.93 ↓ (5.02)	7.43 ↓ (10.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
68.2%

Draw
19.1%

Eldense
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

18.5%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	22.2%	11.1%

Almería - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Eldense will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 45% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Almería (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Pulido J. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 8. Gui Guedes 29. Dzodic S. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 24. de la Fuente M.	1. Vila R. (G) 17. Clemente J. (C) 4. Smand F. 34. Olaizola J. 21. Ruiz D. 14. Smith J. 18. Macho G. 10. Fidel 8. Bustillo M. 16. Cabanes P. 9. Carmona M.
Substitutes
21. Chumi 17. Cipenga B. 33. Junyent Q. 12. Leo Baptistao 30. Lopez J. (G) 2. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 4. Monte N. 7. Morcillo J. 19. Rodrigo Ely 20. Sola A. 6. Vesga M.	36. Bernabeu D. (G) 6. Calvo B. 26. Carbonell I. 15. Guirao C. 13. Juanpa (G) 31. Marin A. 23. Martin J. 7. Rastrojo J. 20. Rodri 30. Rodriguez D. 22. Yanda J.
Coaches
Garcia Pimienta	Barragan C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
11', Ruiz D. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Bonini F. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
25', Clemente J. 🟨,
34', Dzodic S. 🟨,
44', Macho G. 🟨,
45+2', 2 - 0, Dzodic S. ⚽, de la Fuente M. (A),
45+5', 3 - 0, Melamed N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Bustillo M. ↓, Rastrojo J. ↑,
66', Melamed N. ↓, Junyent Q. ↑,
66', Embarba A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
76', Cabanes P. ↓, Rodri ↑,
76', Carmona M. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
81', Arribas S. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
81', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
83', Macho G. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
83', Fidel ↓, Guirao C. ↑,
88', Dzodic S. ↓, Vesga M. ↑,
90+7', Leo Baptistao (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.

In this match, Almería is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Thalys (Red Card)

There are questionable in Almería: Leo Baptistao (Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Ibarrondo A. (Injury) Nieto M. (Foot Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18
13	Eldense	9	3	2	4	10:11	-1	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Córdoba - Almería	0:4 ✺
04.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Almería	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Betis - Almería	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Granada - Almería	2:0 ✺
25.07.26	Águilas - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWLLW
- CD Eldense
Club Friendly
11.08.26	Eldense - Cartagena	3:0 ✺
07.08.26	Albacete Balompié - Eldense	1:0 ✺
04.08.26	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:3 ✺
01.08.26	Real Murcia - Eldense	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Eldense - Al-Ettifaq Dammam	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Eldense - Almería	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
04.05.25	Almería - Eldense	5:0
08.09.24	Eldense - Almería	1:0

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