Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 32

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 3
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Almería		Real Sociedad B

	1	X	2
	1.51	4.1	5	Watch
	1.52	4.35	5.15	Watch
	1.58	4.55	5.37
	1.52	4.69	5.56	Watch
	1.53	4.2	5
	1.61	4.53	5.04	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)	4.4 ↑ (4.22)	5.19 ↓ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
60.7%

Draw
21.3%

Real Sociedad B
18.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

22.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

21.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Real Sociedad B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	7.3%	9.8%

Almería - Real Sociedad B Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Almería (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Almería (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Almería (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Real Sociedad B (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almería will win (34 of 41 users predict this - 82.93%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 94.45%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 13 - 92.9%). Real Sociedad B (votes: 1 - 7.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 14. Baba I. 17. Lopy D. 2. Puigmal A. 11. Arribas S. 23. Embarba A. (C) 24. de la Fuente M.	1. Fraga A. (G) 22. Dadie Izagirre A. 4. Beitia L. (C) 15. Kita K. 3. Balda J. 17. Astiazaran L. 14. Carbonell T. 31. Aguirre I. 8. Rodriguez M. 18. Carrera G. 19. Marchal A.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 29. Dzodic S. 6. Horta A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 7. Morcillo J. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys	23. Agote U. 13. Arana E. (G) 7. Diaz D. 21. Eceizabarrena J. 29. Garro J. 16. Gorosabel G. 33. Gorosabel J. 10. Mariezkurrena A. 34. Oleaga J. 39. Unax A.
Coaches
Rubi	Ansotegi I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, de la Fuente M. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽,
31', Carbonell T. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Luna M. ↓, Chirino D. ↑,
51', Lopy D. 🟨,
56', 3 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽, Puigmal A. (A),
61', Astiazaran L. ↓, Mariezkurrena A. ↑,
61', Rodriguez M. ↓, Gorosabel G. ↑,
61', Marchal A. ↓, Diaz D. ↑,
63', Carrera G. 🟨,
66', 3 - 1, Carrera G. ⚽, Gorosabel G. (A),
68', Puigmal A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
68', Lopy D. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
68', Arribas S. ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
69', Fraga A. 🟨,
70', 4 - 1, Embarba A. (Penalty Awarded),
72', Embarba A. 🟨,
76', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
77', 5 - 1, Munoz A. ⚽,
79', Balda J. ↓, Agote U. ↑,
79', Carbonell T. ↓, Eceizabarrena J. ↑,
80', Aguirre I. 🟨,
90+4', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 14).

Almería is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Real Sociedad B has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Sociedad B may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Dzodic S. (International duty) Gui Guedes (Injury) Leo Baptistao (Red Card)

There will not play in Real Sociedad B: Lebarbier A. (Injury) Ochieng J. (International duty) Orobengoa E. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad B: Calderon I. (Inactive)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Almería won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:3. (average 2.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	9	7	0	2	16:5	11	21
19	Real Sociedad B	9	2	2	5	12:17	-5	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.26	Huesca - Almería	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Zaragoza - Almería	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Almería - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
27.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Almería - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW
- Real Sociedad B
Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Granada	0:2 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
18.03.26	Crystal Palace U21 - Real Sociedad B	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
15.03.26	Córdoba - Real Sociedad B	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Castellón	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	Real Sociedad B - Deportivo A Coruña	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
29.08.25	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:2
13.05.22	Real Sociedad B - Almería	0:2
21.10.21	Almería - Real Sociedad B	3:1

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