Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 28

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8
Australia	beIN Connect
Brazil	Disney+
Greece	Nova Sports 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
Singapore	beIN Sports 2
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Switzerland	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport 4
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Albacete Balompié		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.4	2.65	Watch
	2.52	3.3	2.62	Watch
	2.65	3.45	2.74
	2.63	3.44	2.62	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.63
	2.72	3.39	2.57	Watch
	2.55	3.55	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.63)	3.39 ↓ (3.58)	2.61 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Albacete Balompié
36.3%

Draw
27.7%

Almería
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

26.3%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

26.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Albacete Balompié has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Albacete Balompié than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.7%	25%	56.2%

Albacete Balompié - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Albacete will win (votes: 3 - 20%). Almería will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Almería (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Albacete (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Albacete (votes: 2 - 50%). Almería (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Lizoain R. (C) 2. Lorenzo 23. Pepe 24. Vallejo J. 3. Jogo 7. Puertas A. 8. Fernandez M. 18. Villar J. 11. Valverde V. 19. Rubio A. 10. Betancor J.	1. Fernandez A. (G) 16. Luna M. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 20. Centelles A. 29. Dzodic S. 8. Gui Guedes 2. Puigmal A. 11. Arribas S. 12. Leo Baptistao (C) 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
4. Agus Medina 29. Gomez F. J. P. 16. Lazo J. 22. Lopez L. 17. Melendez A. 5. Moreno J. 20. Obeng S. 6. Pacheco A. 30. Ramos M. (G) 32. Salas J. 14. San Bartolome V.	14. Baba I. 22. Chirino D. 21. Chumi 31. Iribarne B. (G) 17. Lopy D. 13. Martinez F. (G) 10. Melamed N. 7. Morcillo J. 5. Rodrigo Ely 19. Soko P. 9. Thalys
Coaches
Gonzalez A.	Rubi

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Dzodic S. ↓, Baba I. ↑,
45', Pepe 🟨,
45+2', Leo Baptistao 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 1 - 0, Bonini F. (Own goal),
57', Villar J. ↓, Pacheco A. ↑,
65', Leo Baptistao ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
65', de la Fuente M. ↓, Soko P. ↑,
65', Puigmal A. ↓, Thalys ↑,
68', Puertas A. ↓, Lopez L. ↑,
69', Valverde V. ↓, San Bartolome V. ↑,
69', Betancor J. ↓, Obeng S. ↑,
78', Gui Guedes ↓, Melamed N. ↑,
80', Fernandez M. ↓, Melendez A. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Arribas S. ⚽, Morcillo J. (A),

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 1.

Albacete is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Almería is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Albacete: Cedeno E. (Injury) Gamez F. (Yellow Cards) Marin H. (Ankle Injury) Marino D. (Back Injury) Neva C. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Embarba A. (Yellow Cards) Horta A. (Inactive) Munoz A. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Albacete: Agus Medina (Inactive) Bernabeu D. (Inactive)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:23. (average 1.2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Albacete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18
22	Albacete	8	0	1	7	5:15	-10	1

Last Results with these Odds

Albacete Balompié - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.83%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Albacete Balompié
Spanish LaLiga2
22.02.26	Málaga - Albacete Balompié	1:0 ✺
15.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
08.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.02.26	Albacete Balompié - Barcelona	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
31.01.26	Albacete Balompié - Zaragoza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
21.02.26	Almería - Córdoba	2:1 ✺
13.02.26	Almería - FC Andorra	3:2 ✺
08.02.26	Cádiz - Almería	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Almería - Ceuta	4:2 ✺
25.01.26	Eibar - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.08.25	Almería - Albacete Balompié	4:4
26.01.25	Albacete Balompié - Almería	2:1
24.10.24	Almería - Albacete Balompié	3:1
15.05.21	Almería - Albacete Balompié	1:1
23.11.20	Albacete Balompié - Almería	1:2
14.06.20	Albacete Balompié - Almería	0:1
17.08.19	Almería - Albacete Balompié	3:0

Upcoming Matches