Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 15

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2, Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports 5
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Slovenia TV2
Sweden	CMore Live
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Almería		Betis

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.75	2	Watch
	3.4	3.7	2
	3.6	3.75	2	Watch
	3.67	3.8	2.04
	3.67	3.8	2.03
	3.3	3.7	2
	3.58	3.74	2.01	Watch
	3.45	3.75	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.37)	3.75 ↑ (3.61)	2.02 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
27.1%

Draw
25.5%

Betis
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.2%

26.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26.4%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.9%	6.2%	88.9%

Almería - Betis Predictions

Users Predictions: Betis will win (72 of 81 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.05% – 95.73%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 17. Pozo A. 22. Montes C. 3. Gonzalez E. 15. Akieme S. 12. Leo Baptistao 5. Robertone L. (C) 11. Melero G. 10. Embarba A. 7. Ramazani L. 19. Arribas S.	13. Silva R. (G) 2. Bellerin H. 6. Pezzella G. (C) 28. Riad C. 20. Abner 5. Rodriguez G. 22. Isco 21. Roca M. 38. Diao A. 12. Willian Jose 10. Perez A.
Substitutes
4. Baba I. 20. Centelles A. 21. Chumi 28. Fettal R. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 6. Lopy D. 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 24. Mendes H. 8. Puigmal A. 34. Sanca M.	27. Altimira S. 16. Cruz J. 7. Ezzalzouli A. 18. Guardado A. 9. Iglesias B. 11. Luiz Henrique 3. Miranda J. 24. Ruibal A. 19. Sokratis 30. Vieites F. (G)
Coaches
Garitano G.	Pellegrini M.

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

Almería is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Betis is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almería could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Betis will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Milovanovic M. (Knee Injury) Pubill M. (Injury) Suarez L. (Broken calfbone) Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Betis: Bartra M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Bravo C. (Thigh Injury) Carvalho W. (Muscle Injury) Fekir N. (Hip Injury) Rodri (Injury) Sabaly Y. (Knee Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Almería won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 15-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
25.11.23	Getafe - Almería	2:1 ✺
11.11.23	Almería - Real Sociedad	1:3 ✺
05.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL
- Real Betis
UEFA Europa League
30.11.23	Sparta Prague - Betis	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
26.11.23	Betis - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
12.11.23	Sevilla - Betis	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.11.23	Betis - Aris	4:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Betis - Mallorca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
11.02.23	Almería - Betis	2:3
16.10.22	Betis - Almería	3:1
Club Friendly
04.08.21	Betis - Almería	1:2
02.09.20	Almería - Betis	0:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.14	Almería - Betis	2:1
05.12.14	Betis - Almería	3:4
Spanish LaLiga
04.05.14	Almería - Betis	3:2

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