Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 2
Serbia	Arena Sport
Sweden	CMore Live


	Almería		Real Sociedad

	1	X	2
	5	3.8	1.67	Watch
	5	3.8	1.68
	5	4	1.7	Watch
	5.29	3.96	1.71
	5.29	3.96	1.7
	5	3.8	1.65
	5.05	3.94	1.69	Watch
	5.2	3.9	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (3.98)	3.9 ↑ (3.8)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
18.7%

Draw
24.6%

Real Sociedad
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.9%

25%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.3%

24.3%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Almería's form might have worsened.

Real Sociedad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Sociedad's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.4%	4.5%	83.1%

Almería - Real Sociedad Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Sociedad will win (74 of 89 users predict this - 83.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.37% – 90.93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Maximiano L. (G) 24. Mendes H. 3. Gonzalez E. 21. Chumi 15. Akieme S. 7. Ramazani L. 5. Robertone L. (C) 6. Lopy D. 10. Embarba A. 12. Leo Baptistao 19. Arribas S.	1. Remiro A. (G) 18. Traore H. 6. Elustondo A. 24. Le Normand R. 3. Munoz A. 12. Zakharyan A. 4. Zubimendi M. 22. Turrientes B. 7. Barrenetxea A. 10. Oyarzabal M. (C) 19. Sadiq U.
Substitutes
4. Baba I. 28. Fettal R. 2. Kaiky 14. Lazaro 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 11. Melero G. 22. Montes C. 17. Pozo A. 8. Puigmal A. 34. Sanca M.	39. Aramburu J. 11. Cho M. 9. Fernandez C. 26. Gonzalez U. 14. Kubo T. 28. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 29. Marin P. 32. Marrero U. (G) 8. Merino M. 2. Odriozola A. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 20. Pacheco J.
Coaches
Garitano G.	Alguacil I.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Almería won 2.

Almería is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Sociedad is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Almería have a series of guest games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Milovanovic M. (Knee Injury) Pubill M. (Injury) Suarez L. (Broken calfbone) Svidersky M. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Andre Silva (Calf Injury) Mendez B. (Yellow Cards) Merquelanz M. (Knee Injury) Tierney K. (Knee Injury) Zubeldia I. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Almería: Centelles A. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Pacheco J. (Muscle Injury) Traore H. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
05.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Almería	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Girona - Almería	5:2 ✺
06.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LWLLL
- Real Sociedad
UEFA Champions League
08.11.23	Real Sociedad - Benfica	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
04.11.23	Real Sociedad - Barcelona	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Buñol - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
29.10.23	Rayo Vallecano - Real Sociedad	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.10.23	Benfica - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
23.05.23	Real Sociedad - Almería	1:0
08.01.23	Almería - Real Sociedad	0:2
13.02.15	Almería - Real Sociedad	2:2
21.09.14	Real Sociedad - Almería	1:2
24.03.14	Almería - Real Sociedad	4:3
27.10.13	Real Sociedad - Almería	3:0

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