Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 31 October 2023, Tuesday


	Talavera de la Reina		Almería

	1	X	2
	6.5	4	1.5	Watch
	5.5	4.1	1.49	Watch
	6	4.2	1.47	Watch
	5.48	4.15	1.48
	6	4.2	1.53	Watch
	6.3	4.4	1.48	Watch
	5.6	4.2	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.91 ↓ (9.78)	4.18 ↓ (4.73)	1.49 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Talavera de la Reina
15.7%

Draw
22.2%

Almería
62.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

9.6%

19.8%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

10.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Talavera de la Reina's performance.

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Almería might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Almería than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Almería, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.8%	0%	24.2%

Talavera de la Reina - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. Talavera will win (votes: 25 - 75.8%). Almería will win (votes: 8 - 24.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Talavera: 61.2% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Fontan J. 5. Dorado Perez C. D. 14. Anglada H. 3. Josema 6. Agirre J. 18. Tass 20. Rementeria U. (C) 23. Caio Emerson 9. Dago J. 11. Gallardo Rodriguez E.	25. Maximiano L. (G) 24. Mendes H. 3. Gonzalez E. 2. Kaiky 17. Pozo A. 6. Lopy D. 11. Melero G. (C) 8. Puigmal A. 19. Arribas S. 7. Ramazani L. 29. Milovanovic M.
Substitutes
17. Abeledo I. 1. Biel R. G. (G) 30. Blazquez S. 21. Connor Ruane 19. Loukou S. 22. Morante D. 7. Pipo 4. Ramos Cruz D. 16. Rey J. 8. Szymanowski A.	99. Ballestero C. 32. Chumi 10. Embarba A. 14. Lazaro 21. Leo Baptistao 1. Marino D. (G) 13. Martinez F. (G) 22. Montes C. 20. Pena 26. Pena M. 34. Sanca M.

Preview

Talavera is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Almería has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Talavera have a series of guest games.

In this match Almería is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
28.10.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	3:2 ✺
22.10.23	Ursaria - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
15.10.23	Talavera de la Reina - UD San Fernando	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
11.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.10.23	CD Guadalajara - Talavera de la Reina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTWWW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga
28.10.23	Almería - Las Palmas	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Girona - Almería	5:2 ✺
06.10.23	Athletic Bilbao - Almería	3:0 ✺
01.10.23	Almería - Granada	3:3 ✺
26.09.23	Sevilla - Almería	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL

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