Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion 2, Movistar Plus+


	Almería		Huesca

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.5	5	Watch
	1.65	3.55	5.15	Watch
	1.72	3.7	5.58
	1.57	4.02	5.74	Watch
	1.75	3.61	5.15	Watch
	1.63	3.66	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.57)	3.67 ↓ (4.02)	5.35 ↓ (5.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
56.7%

Draw
25.7%

Huesca
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

23.5%

16.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

22.6%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

Almería - Huesca Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Huesca will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Huesca (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 20. Centelles A. 17. Lopy D. 29. Dzodic S. 2. Puigmal A. 11. Arribas S. 23. Embarba A. (C) 9. Thalys	13. Jimenez D. (G) 22. Perez A. 14. Pulido J. (C) 5. Pina 17. Alonso J. 21. Ojeda D. 23. Sielva O. 16. Alvarez J. 20. Portillo F. 9. Enrich S. 10. Kortajarena I.
Substitutes
14. Baba I. 5. Clua S. 32. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 8. Gui Guedes 15. Hernandez A. 6. Horta A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 3. Munoz A. 36. Perovic M. 19. Soko P.	3. Abajas R. 38. Albarracin G. 28. Arribas S. 4. Carrillo A. 37. Chatiliez W. 33. Luna D. 30. Martin D. (G) 19. Ntamack S. 15. Perez H. 1. Perez Juan (G) 7. Rico M. 18. Rodriguez E.
Coaches
Rubi	Bolo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
39', Thalys 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Thalys ↓, Soko P. ↑,
59', Puigmal A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
62', Ojeda D. ↓, Carrillo A. ↑,
62', Enrich S. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
70', Dzodic S. ↓, Horta A. ↑,
70', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
77', Alvarez J. ↓, Luna D. ↑,
87', Perez A. ↓, Abajas R. ↑,
87', Portillo F. ↓, Rico M. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 0.

Almería is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Huesca is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Huesca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Almería is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Kone I. (Ankle Injury) Melamed N. (Muscle Injury) Robertone L. (Injury)

There will not play in Huesca: Aznar D. (Knee Injury) Beltran L. (Injury) Martin J. (Knee Injury) Mier J. (Knee Injury) Toni Abad (Injury)

We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Almería won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
26.11.25	Ceuta - Almería	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
16.11.25	Almería - Cádiz	3:0 ✺
01.11.25	Almería - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - Almería	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LWWWW
- SD Huesca
Spanish LaLiga2
23.11.25	Huesca - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Zaragoza - Huesca	1:0 ✺
08.11.25	Huesca - FC Andorra	2:2 ✺
05.11.25	Real Sociedad B - Huesca	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Albacete Balompié - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.01.25	Almería - Huesca	0:0
27.10.24	Huesca - Almería	2:2
03.04.22	Huesca - Almería	1:1
27.11.21	Almería - Huesca	0:0
15.02.20	Huesca - Almería	3:2
31.08.19	Almería - Huesca	1:0
04.03.18	Huesca - Almería	2:2

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