Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería)

Referee: Lax S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 6
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, beIN Sports MENA English 2, TOD
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Ecuador	DSports 6
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2
Serbia	Arena Sport 3
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DSports 6


	Almería		Eibar

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.7	5	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.55	Watch
	1.60	4.09	5.25	Watch
	1.74	3.8	4.89	Watch
	1.8	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.6)	3.76 ↓ (4.09)	4.82 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
55.5%

Draw
25%

Eibar
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

23.1%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

22.6%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Eibar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Almería - Eibar Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almería will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Almería will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 4. Monte N. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 17. Lopy D. 23. Embarba A. (C) 11. Arribas S. 10. Melamed N. 19. Soko P.	13. Magunagoitia J. (G) 22. Rodriguez A. 21. Moreno M. 23. Arbilla A. (C) 24. Buta L. 14. Olaetxea L. 30. Garrido A. 17. Corpas J. 5. Martinez J. 7. Alkain X. 9. Bautista J.
Substitutes
20. Centelles A. 5. Clua S. 32. Fidel Cedillo Segura P. 8. Gui Guedes 15. Hernandez A. 31. Iribarne B. (G) 16. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 36. Perovic M. 2. Puigmal A. 24. Robertone L. 9. Thalys	4. Arambarri A. 3. Arrillaga H. 33. Delgado M. 27. Garcia H. 15. Jair 20. Javier Marton 34. Llorente O. 1. Lopez L. (G) 11. Magunazelaia Argoitia J. 19. Villa T.
Coaches
Rubi	San Jose B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', Corpas J. 🟨,
5', 1 - 0, Arribas S. (Pen),
22', 2 - 0, Munoz A. ⚽, Melamed N. (A),
33', Olaetxea L. 🟨,
45+1', 3 - 0, Embarba A. ⚽, Dzodic S. (A),
45+4', Lopy D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Lopy D. ↓, Gui Guedes ↑,
64', Arbilla A. 🟨,
64', Bautista J. ↓, Javier Marton ↑,
64', Corpas J. ↓, Villa T. ↑,
66', Olaetxea L. ↓, Magunazelaia Argoitia J. ↑,
68', Soko P. ↓, Thalys ↑,
68', Melamed N. ↓, Puigmal A. ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Arbilla A. ⚽, Villa T. (A),
72', Munoz A. 🟨,
74', Arbilla A. ↓, Arambarri A. ↑,
76', Dzodic S. ↓, Clua S. ↑,
76', Embarba A. ↓, Perovic M. ↑,
84', Rodriguez A. ↓, Garcia H. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1.

Almería is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Eibar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Almería is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Almería: Chumi (Ankle Injury) Horta A. (Injury)

There will not play in Eibar: Cubero S. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eibar: Alvarez S. (Muscle Injury) Guruzeta J. (Injury)

We predict that Almería will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 1:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Almería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Lorca Deportiva - Almería	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Almería - Castellón	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Córdoba - Almería	1:1 ✺
11.10.25	Almería - Zaragoza	4:2 ✺
04.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Almería	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWTWT
- SD Eibar
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Náxara - Eibar	2:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Eibar - Leganés	0:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas - Eibar	3:1 ✺
12.10.25	Eibar - Castellón	0:0 ✺
03.10.25	Ceuta - Eibar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
07.03.25	Eibar - Almería	1:0
22.09.24	Almería - Eibar	2:2
24.01.22	Almería - Eibar	0:2
15.10.21	Eibar - Almería	1:0
Spanish LaLiga
26.04.15	Almería - Eibar	2:0
08.12.14	Eibar - Almería	5:2

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