Match Info

Date: 24 January 2021, Sunday


	Almería		Sabadell

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	5.5	Watch
	1.62	3.7	5.5
	1.6	3.75	5.75	Watch
	1.6	3.75	5.4
	1.63	3.95	6.1
	1.57	3.6	6.5	Watch
	1.6	3.74	6.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.58)	3.76 ↑ (3.65)	5.87 ↓ (6.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
58.8%

Draw
25.1%

Sabadell
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

25.7%

14.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.7%

21.4%

12.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sabadell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Almería, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sabadell than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.1%	12.5%	10.4%

Almería - Sabadell Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Almería will win (votes: 37 - 77.1%). Sabadell will win (votes: 5 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Almería: 65.2% – 89%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga2 (Promotion to Play Offs) and 18).

Almería has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (56%), has a chance of promoted (50%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Sabadell has a chance of relegated (49%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Almería is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sabadell is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Almería is a favorite.

Recent matches Sabadell is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Last 4 head-to-head matches Almería won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Almería won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Almería - Deportivo Alavés	5:0 ✺
06.01.21	Numancia - Almería	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.01.21	Almería - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
20.12.20	Espanyol - Almería	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	LHospitalet - Almería	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WWWLW
- Sabadell FC
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.21	Sabadell - Lugo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.21	Peña Deportiva - Sabadell	1:0 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.01.21	Girona - Sabadell	0:0 ✺
19.12.20	Sabadell - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.20	Ibiza Islas Pitiusas - Sabadell	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
05.11.20	Sabadell - Almería	1:2
08.02.13	Almería - Sabadell	5:1
08.09.12	Sabadell - Almería	3:0
16.05.12	Sabadell - Almería	2:1

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